Columbia Financial Stock Price Patterns

CLBK Stock  USD 16.27  0.05  0.31%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Columbia Financial's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Columbia Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Columbia Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Columbia Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Columbia Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.429
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.14
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.5
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.69
Wall Street Target Price
18
Using Columbia Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Columbia Financial from the perspective of Columbia Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Columbia Financial using Columbia Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Columbia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Columbia Financial's stock price.

Columbia Financial Short Interest

An investor who is long Columbia Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Columbia Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Columbia Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
15.0126
Short Percent
0.0581
Short Ratio
14.7
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
16.0018

Columbia Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Columbia Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Columbia. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Columbia can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Columbia Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Columbia Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Columbia Financial.

Columbia Financial Implied Volatility

    
  0.95  
Columbia Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Columbia Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Columbia Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Columbia Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Columbia Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Columbia Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Columbia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Columbia Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Columbia contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Columbia Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Columbia Financial trading at USD 16.27, that is roughly USD 0.00966 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Columbia Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Columbia Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Columbia Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Columbia Stock please use our How to buy in Columbia Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8713.5117.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8716.5118.15
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
16.3818.0019.98
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.120.150.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Financial.

Columbia Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Columbia Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Columbia Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Columbia Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Columbia Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Columbia Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Columbia Financial's historical news coverage. Columbia Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.68 and 17.96, respectively. We have considered Columbia Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.27
16.32
After-hype Price
17.96
Upside
Columbia Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Columbia Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Columbia Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Columbia Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Columbia Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Columbia Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
1.64
 0.00  
  0.01 
9 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.27
16.32
0.00 
16,400  
Notes

Columbia Financial Hype Timeline

Columbia Financial is currently traded for 16.27. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Columbia is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Columbia Financial is about 3094.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.26. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Columbia Financial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Columbia Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Columbia Stock please use our How to buy in Columbia Stock guide.

Columbia Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Columbia Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Columbia Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Columbia Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Columbia Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CCBCoastal Financial Corp(0.06)19 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.86 (4.67) 9.36 
STELStellar Bancorp(0.61)10 per month 0.73  0.15  2.67 (1.75) 8.20 
FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial 0.27 9 per month 1.31  0.06  2.92 (1.48) 8.12 
LKFNLakeland Financial 0.08 9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.46 (2.96) 7.97 
BLXForeign Trade Bank 0.24 9 per month 1.36  0.05  2.74 (1.75) 5.72 
TCBKTriCo Bancshares(0.28)10 per month 1.03  0.11  3.41 (1.67) 7.18 
SRCE1st Source(0.27)7 per month 1.06  0.06  2.22 (2.38) 5.76 
FRMEFirst Merchants(0.23)10 per month 1.25  0.02  2.80 (1.59) 8.32 
NWBINorthwest Bancshares 0.49 7 per month 1.35  0  3.66 (2.50) 7.37 
CHCOCity Holding(0.16)10 per month 1.10 (0.04) 1.91 (1.54) 6.66 

Columbia Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Columbia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Columbia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Columbia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Columbia Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Columbia Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Columbia Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Columbia Financial based on analysis of Columbia Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Columbia Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Columbia Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding34.032.5229.2624.82
PTB Ratio1.91.491.712.54

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When determining whether Columbia Financial is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Columbia Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Columbia Financial Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Columbia Financial Stock:
Check out Columbia Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Columbia Stock please use our How to buy in Columbia Stock guide.
You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Columbia Financial. Projected growth potential of Columbia fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Columbia Financial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.429
Earnings Share
0.15
Revenue Per Share
1.983
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.294
Return On Assets
0.0014
Columbia Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Columbia's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Columbia Financial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Columbia Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Columbia Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Columbia Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Columbia Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.