Affirm Holdings Stock Analysis

AFRM Stock  USD 69.35  2.80  4.21%   
Affirm Holdings is overvalued with Real Value of 44.46 and Target Price of 14.71. The main objective of Affirm Holdings stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Affirm Holdings is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Affirm Holdings' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The Affirm Holdings stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Affirm Holdings is usually not traded on Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day, Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday. Affirm Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Affirm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.

Affirm Stock Analysis Notes

About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.17. Affirm Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.41. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Affirm Holdings, Inc. operates a platform for digital and mobile-first commerce in the United States, Canada, and internationally. Affirm Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. Affirm Holdings operates under SoftwareInfrastructure classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 2552 people. For more info on Affirm Holdings please contact Max Levchin at 415 960 1518 or go to https://www.affirm.com.

Affirm Holdings Quarterly Total Revenue

698.48 Million

Affirm Holdings Investment Alerts

Affirm Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Affirm Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.32 B. Net Loss for the year was (517.76 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.01 B.
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from zacks.com: Here is What to Know Beyond Why Affirm Holdings, Inc. is a Trending Stock

Affirm Holdings Upcoming and Recent Events

8th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
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14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
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31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
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22nd of August 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
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30th of June 2023
Last Financial Announcement
View

Affirm Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Affirm Holdings' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2024-11-07
2024-09-30-0.35-0.310.0411 
2023-02-08
2022-12-31-0.98-1.1-0.1212 
2023-11-08
2023-09-30-0.7-0.570.1318 
View All Earnings Estimates

Affirm Holdings Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

Affirm Holdings' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates Affirm Holdings' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of Affirm Holdings' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect Affirm Holdings' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

Affirm Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.6 M
Two Sigma Advisers, Llc2024-06-30
2.5 M
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
2.4 M
Spyglass Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
2.3 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
2.3 M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
2.2 M
Abdiel Capital Advisors Llc2024-09-30
2.1 M
1832 Asset Management L.p2024-09-30
M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
1.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
61.1 M
Capital Research Global Investors2024-09-30
23.8 M
Note, although Affirm Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Affirm Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Large-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 20.9 B.

Affirm Profitablity

The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.18) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.19) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.19.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets(0.06)(0.06)
Return On Capital Employed(0.06)(0.07)
Return On Assets(0.05)(0.06)
Return On Equity(0.19)(0.18)

Management Efficiency

Affirm Holdings has return on total asset (ROA) of (0.0359) % which means that it has lost $0.0359 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of (0.1652) %, meaning that it created substantial loss on money invested by shareholders. Affirm Holdings' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Affirm Holdings manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 26th of November 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to -0.06. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to -0.07. At this time, Affirm Holdings' Non Current Assets Total are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 26th of November 2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 229.4 M, while Net Tangible Assets are likely to drop about 1.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 8.82  5.41 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 7.05  4.12 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA-6.7 K-6.3 K
Price Book Value Ratio 3.38  3.55 
Enterprise Value Multiple-6.7 K-6.3 K
Price Fair Value 3.38  3.55 
Enterprise Value14.8 B8.6 B
The strategic initiatives led by Affirm Holdings' management are central to its market success. By analyzing these initiatives, we provide a clear picture of the stock's growth prospects.
Operating Margin
(0.19)
Profit Margin
(0.18)
Beta
3.477
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.17)

Technical Drivers

As of the 26th of November, Affirm Holdings shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.1794, and Mean Deviation of 4.06. Affirm Holdings technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm Affirm Holdings standard deviation, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and expected short fall to decide if Affirm Holdings is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 69.35 per share. Given that Affirm Holdings has jensen alpha of 0.976, we suggest you to validate Affirm Holdings's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Affirm Holdings Price Movement Analysis

Execute Study
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Affirm Holdings Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Affirm Holdings insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Affirm Holdings' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Affirm Holdings insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Affirm Holdings Outstanding Bonds

Affirm Holdings issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. Affirm Holdings uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most Affirm bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when Affirm Holdings has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

Affirm Holdings Predictive Daily Indicators

Affirm Holdings intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Affirm Holdings stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Affirm Holdings Corporate Filings

F4
22nd of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
20th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
14th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
8K
7th of November 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
5th of November 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
29th of October 2024
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
25th of October 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify

Affirm Holdings Forecast Models

Affirm Holdings' time-series forecasting models are one of many Affirm Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Affirm Holdings' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Affirm Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Affirm Holdings prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Affirm shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Affirm Holdings. By using and applying Affirm Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Affirm entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin(0.22)(0.23)
Operating Profit Margin(0.27)(0.28)
Net Loss(0.22)(0.23)
Gross Profit Margin 0.64  0.65 

Current Affirm Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Affirm analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Affirm analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
14.71Buy19Odds
Affirm Holdings current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Affirm analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Affirm stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Affirm Holdings, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Affirm conference calls.
Affirm Analyst Advice Details

Affirm Stock Analysis Indicators

Affirm Holdings stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Affirm Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Affirm Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Affirm Holdings stock analysis, traders can identify Affirm Holdings position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Long Term Debt6.6 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding309.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity2.7 B
Tax Provision2.2 M
Property Plant And Equipment Net449.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.1 B
CashB
Accounts Payable41 M
Net Debt5.6 B
50 Day M A46.8867
Total Current Liabilities41 M
Other Operating Expenses2.9 B
Non Current Assets TotalB
Non Currrent Assets Other218.5 M
Stock Based Compensation344.5 M
When determining whether Affirm Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affirm Holdings' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affirm Holdings' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affirm Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Affirm Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Affirm Stock, please use our How to Invest in Affirm Holdings guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Data Processing & Outsourced Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affirm Holdings. If investors know Affirm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affirm Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.41)
Revenue Per Share
8.055
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.407
Return On Assets
(0.04)
Return On Equity
(0.17)
The market value of Affirm Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affirm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affirm Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affirm Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affirm Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affirm Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affirm Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affirm Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affirm Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.