Groupon Stock Technical Analysis

GRPN Stock  USD 14.15  0.61  4.13%   
As of the 31st of January, Groupon retains the Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.31), standard deviation of 3.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09). Groupon technical analysis makes it possible for you to employ historical prices and volume momentum with the intention to determine a pattern that calculates the direction of the firm's future prices.

Groupon Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Groupon, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to GrouponGroupon's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Groupon Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
35.33Buy4Odds
Groupon current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Groupon analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Groupon stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Groupon, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Groupon conference calls.
Groupon Analyst Advice Details
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Groupon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. Market participants price Groupon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Groupon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(3.54)
Revenue Per Share
12.381
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
Return On Assets
0.0104
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Groupon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.

Groupon 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Groupon's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Groupon.
0.00
11/02/2025
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
01/31/2026
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Groupon on November 2, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Groupon or generate 0.0% return on investment in Groupon over 90 days. Groupon is related to or competes with EverQuote, Getty Images, MediaAlpha, Fiverr International, Shutterstock, NXDR, and Autohome. Groupon, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates a marketplace that connects consumers to merchants More

Groupon Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Groupon's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Groupon upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Groupon Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Groupon's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Groupon's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Groupon historical prices to predict the future Groupon's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4913.9417.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.7419.1322.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5213.9717.42
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
32.1535.3339.22
Details

Groupon January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators

Groupon Backtested Returns

Groupon holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.18, which attests that the entity had a -0.18 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Groupon exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Groupon's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.31), standard deviation of 3.54, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.51, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Groupon will likely underperform. At this point, Groupon has a negative expected return of -0.63%. Please make sure to check out Groupon's total risk alpha, skewness, as well as the relationship between the Skewness and day median price , to decide if Groupon performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.46  

Average predictability

Groupon has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Groupon time series from 2nd of November 2025 to 17th of December 2025 and 17th of December 2025 to 31st of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Groupon price movement. The serial correlation of 0.46 indicates that about 46.0% of current Groupon price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.46
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.83
Groupon technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Groupon technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Groupon trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Groupon Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Groupon volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

About Groupon Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Groupon on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Groupon based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Groupon price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Groupon. By analyzing Groupon's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Groupon's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Groupon specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield1.87E-41.78E-4
Price To Sales Ratio1.111.06

Groupon January 31, 2026 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Groupon help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Groupon from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Groupon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Groupon January 31, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Groupon stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Groupon offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Groupon's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Groupon Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Groupon Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Groupon. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Groupon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. Market participants price Groupon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Groupon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.092
Earnings Share
(3.54)
Revenue Per Share
12.381
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.073
Return On Assets
0.0104
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Groupon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.