Groupon Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| GRPN Stock | USD 13.29 0.69 5.48% |
Groupon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Groupon's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Groupon's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Groupon fundamentals over time.
As of today the value of rsi of Groupon's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.092 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.53 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.34 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.87 | Wall Street Target Price 35.3333 |
Using Groupon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Groupon from the perspective of Groupon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Groupon using Groupon's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Groupon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Groupon's stock price.
Groupon Short Interest
An investor who is long Groupon may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Groupon and may potentially protect profits, hedge Groupon with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 23.7447 | Short Percent 0.4041 | Short Ratio 10.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.6 M | 50 Day MA 16.4124 |
Groupon Relative Strength Index
Groupon Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Groupon's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Groupon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Groupon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Groupon. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Groupon's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Groupon.
Groupon Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Groupon's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Groupon stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Groupon's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Groupon stock will not fluctuate a lot when Groupon's options are near their expiration.
Groupon after-hype prediction price | USD 13.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Groupon to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Groupon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Groupon will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Groupon trading at USD 13.29, that is roughly USD 0.009552 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Groupon's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Groupon options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Groupon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Groupon's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Groupon's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Groupon stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Groupon's open interest, investors have to compare it to Groupon's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Groupon is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Groupon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Groupon Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Groupon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Groupon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Groupon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 53282.05 | 0.0544 |
| Check Groupon Volatility | Backtest Groupon | Information Ratio |
Groupon Trading Date Momentum
| On February 08 2026 Groupon was traded for 13.29 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 13.41 and the lowest listed price was 12.68 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 8, 2026 did not cause price change. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 4.21% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Groupon to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Groupon
For every potential investor in Groupon, whether a beginner or expert, Groupon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Groupon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Groupon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Groupon's price trends.Groupon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Groupon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Groupon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Groupon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Groupon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Groupon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Groupon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Groupon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Groupon entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Groupon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Groupon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Groupon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting groupon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Variance | 12.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Groupon
The number of cover stories for Groupon depends on current market conditions and Groupon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Groupon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Groupon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Groupon Short Properties
Groupon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Groupon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Groupon often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Groupon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 228.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Groupon to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Groupon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Groupon guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Will Broadline Retail sector continue expanding? Could Groupon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Groupon. Market participants price Groupon higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Groupon data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.092 | Earnings Share (3.54) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.073 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Groupon is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Groupon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Groupon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Groupon's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Groupon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Groupon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Groupon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Groupon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Groupon's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.