First Bancshares Stock Technical Analysis
| FUSB Stock | USD 15.37 0.28 1.79% |
As of the 17th of February 2026, First Bancshares shows the Coefficient Of Variation of 846.43, mean deviation of 1.24, and Downside Deviation of 1.89. First Bancshares technical analysis allows you to utilize historical prices and volume patterns in order to determine a pattern that computes the direction of the firm's future prices.
First Bancshares Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as First, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to FirstFirst Bancshares' Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Bancshares. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive First Bancshares assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.244 | Dividend Share 0.28 | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 |
Investors evaluate First Bancshares using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating First Bancshares' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause First Bancshares' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, First Bancshares' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
First Bancshares 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to First Bancshares' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of First Bancshares.
| 11/19/2025 |
| 02/17/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in First Bancshares on November 19, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding First Bancshares or generate 0.0% return on investment in First Bancshares over 90 days. First Bancshares is related to or competes with Bank of the, United Bancorp, IF Bancorp, Fifth District, First Northwest, Auburn National, and Summit State. First US Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for First US Bank that provides commercial banking produc... More
First Bancshares Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure First Bancshares' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess First Bancshares upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.082 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.72 |
First Bancshares Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for First Bancshares' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as First Bancshares' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use First Bancshares historical prices to predict the future First Bancshares' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1012 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2098 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0748 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0841 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.5 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Bancshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Bancshares February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1012 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.51 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 846.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.082 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2098 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0748 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0841 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.5 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8008 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.3 |
First Bancshares Backtested Returns
First Bancshares appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. First Bancshares secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.12, which denotes the company had a 0.12 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for First Bancshares, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize First Bancshares' Downside Deviation of 1.89, mean deviation of 1.24, and Coefficient Of Variation of 846.43 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, First Bancshares holds a performance score of 9. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.15, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, First Bancshares' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding First Bancshares is expected to be smaller as well. Please check First Bancshares' semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to make a quick decision on whether First Bancshares' price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.24 |
Weak reverse predictability
First Bancshares has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between First Bancshares time series from 19th of November 2025 to 3rd of January 2026 and 3rd of January 2026 to 17th of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of First Bancshares price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current First Bancshares price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.24 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.08 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.58 |
First Bancshares technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Bancshares Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of First Bancshares volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About First Bancshares Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of First Bancshares on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Bancshares based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on First Bancshares price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding First Bancshares. By analyzing First Bancshares's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of First Bancshares's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to First Bancshares specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0191 | 0.02 | 0.0268 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.1 | 1.29 | 2.4 |
First Bancshares February 17, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of First help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1012 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.51 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 846.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.74 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.082 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.2098 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | 0.0748 | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0841 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.5 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.57 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.07) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.72 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.56 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) | |||
| Skewness | 0.8008 | |||
| Kurtosis | 6.3 |
First Bancshares February 17, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as First stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.11 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.16) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | ||
| Day Median Price | 14.64 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 14.88 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.59 | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.72 |
Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure First Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of First Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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