Triumph Financial Stock Technical Analysis
| TFIN Stock | 63.09 2.03 3.12% |
As of the 1st of February, Triumph Financial has the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0408, coefficient of variation of 2157.68, and Semi Deviation of 2.16. In relation to fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model makes it possible for you to check existing technical drivers of Triumph Financial, as well as the relationship between them.
Triumph Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Triumph, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to TriumphTriumph Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Triumph Financial Analyst Consensus
| Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
| 66.0 | Hold | 5 | Odds |
Most Triumph analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Triumph stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Triumph Financial, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Triumph conference calls.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Triumph diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph Financial. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triumph Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
Triumph Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Triumph's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Triumph Financial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Triumph Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Triumph Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Triumph Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Triumph Financial.
| 11/03/2025 |
| 02/01/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Triumph Financial on November 3, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Triumph Financial or generate 0.0% return on investment in Triumph Financial over 90 days. Triumph Financial is related to or competes with FirstSun Capital, CullenFrost Bankers, Preferred Bank, Origin Bancorp, Peoples Bancorp, OceanFirst Financial, and Westamerica Bancorporation. Triumph Financial is entity of United States More
Triumph Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Triumph Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Triumph Financial upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0292 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.96 |
Triumph Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triumph Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Triumph Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Triumph Financial historical prices to predict the future Triumph Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0408 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0408 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0321 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0551 |
Triumph Financial February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0408 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0651 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2157.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0292 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0408 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0321 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0551 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) | |||
| Skewness | 0.315 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7851 |
Triumph Financial Backtested Returns
Triumph Financial appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Triumph Financial owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.1, which indicates the firm had a 0.1 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Triumph Financial, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Triumph Financial's Coefficient Of Variation of 2157.68, risk adjusted performance of 0.0408, and Semi Deviation of 2.16 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Triumph Financial holds a performance score of 8. The entity has a beta of 2.02, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Triumph Financial will likely underperform. Please check Triumph Financial's semi variance, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Triumph Financial's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.17 |
Very weak predictability
Triumph Financial has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Triumph Financial time series from 3rd of November 2025 to 18th of December 2025 and 18th of December 2025 to 1st of February 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Triumph Financial price movement. The serial correlation of 0.17 indicates that over 17.0% of current Triumph Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.17 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.42 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 7.55 |
Triumph Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Triumph Financial Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Triumph Financial volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Triumph Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Triumph Financial on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Triumph Financial based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Triumph Financial price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Triumph Financial. By analyzing Triumph Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Triumph Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Triumph Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
| 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001723 | 0.001515 | 0.001742 | 0.001839 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.94 | 4.34 | 3.91 | 2.69 |
Triumph Financial February 1, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Triumph help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0408 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0651 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 2157.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.86 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0292 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0408 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0321 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0551 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.6 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.53) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) | |||
| Skewness | 0.315 | |||
| Kurtosis | 0.7851 |
Triumph Financial February 1, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triumph stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.06 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | ||
| Day Median Price | 63.95 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 63.66 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.87) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.90 |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triumph Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide.You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Triumph diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph Financial. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triumph Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
Triumph Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Triumph's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Triumph Financial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Triumph Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.