Triumph Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| TFIN Stock | 77.27 0.09 0.12% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Triumph Financial is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Triumph Financial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Triumph Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Triumph and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Triumph Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product.
Triumph |
Execute Triumph Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Triumph recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Triumph Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Triumph Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Triumph Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Triumph Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Triumph Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Triumph Financial has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Triumph Financial, Inc. Investors Who Lost Money Contact Law Offices of Howard G. Smith About Securities Fraud Investigation - Marketscreener.com |
Triumph Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Triumph Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Triumph Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Triumph Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Triumph Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Triumph Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Triumph Financial.
| Mean Return | -0.18 | Value At Risk | -3.29 | Potential Upside | 4.45 | Standard Deviation | 3.07 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Triumph Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Triumph Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Triumph Financial, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triumph Financial back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Wellington Management Company Llp | 2024-09-30 | 390.4 K | Ranger Investment Management Lp | 2024-09-30 | 387.8 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-09-30 | 297.2 K | Banc Funds Co Llc | 2024-09-30 | 264.2 K | Wells Fargo & Co | 2024-09-30 | 241.7 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2024-09-30 | 213.8 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 211.8 K | Woodson Capital Management, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 196.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 195.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-09-30 | 3.3 M | Kayne Anderson Rudnick Investment Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 2.8 M |
Triumph Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 116.5M | 68.8M | 25.0M | (121.5M) | (109.4M) | (103.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 79.8M | 122.6M | 63.6M | 16.2M | 18.7M | 17.7M | |
| Depreciation | 19.1M | 22.9M | 25.2M | 25.3M | 29.0M | 30.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (11.6M) | (19.1M) | (31.2M) | 6.1M | 5.5M | 5.8M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.6M | 14.4M | 10.9M | 27.0M | 31.0M | 32.6M | |
| Net Income | 64.0M | 113.0M | 102.3M | 41.1M | 47.2M | 51.4M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 314.4M | 383.2M | 408.2M | 286.6M | 329.6M | 223.8M | |
| Investments | 33.7M | 41.4M | 593.0M | (37.5M) | (43.1M) | (41.0M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 135.8M | (132.1M) | (72.5M) | (28.9M) | (26.0M) | (27.3M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 7.5M | (9.2M) | (5.8M) | 1.8M | 1.6M | 939.8K |
Triumph Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Triumph Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Triumph Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Triumph stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.59 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.18 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Triumph Financial Volatility Alert
Triumph Financial exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.8 and kurtosis of 7.73. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Triumph Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Triumph Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Triumph Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Triumph Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Triumph Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Triumph Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Triumph Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Triumph Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triumph Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Triumph Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Triumph Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0252 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0038 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.92 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 23.39 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 5.48 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 94.27 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 1.78 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.14 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.54 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 398.01 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 398.01 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 37.88 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 41.08 M | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 405.42 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 36.02 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 43.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 14.80 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.54 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 78.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.54 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.81 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 5.35 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 536.33 M | 9.33 B |
| Net Asset | 5.35 B |
Note: Disposition of 945 shares by Todd Ritterbusch of Triumph Financial at 31.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Triumph Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Triumph . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2983.31 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.04) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 77.55 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 77.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.33) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.09) |
About Triumph Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Triumph Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Triumph Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Triumph Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph Financial. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triumph Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.63) | Earnings Share 0.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Triumph Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triumph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triumph Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triumph Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triumph Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triumph Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.