AMERISAFE Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator

AMSF Stock  USD 37.61  0.66  1.79%   
AMERISAFE Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AMERISAFE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 1st of February 2026, the relative strength indicator of AMERISAFE's share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AMERISAFE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 46

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of AMERISAFE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMERISAFE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMERISAFE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMERISAFE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using AMERISAFE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMERISAFE from the perspective of AMERISAFE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

AMERISAFE after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMERISAFE to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.

AMERISAFE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AMERISAFE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMERISAFE using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMERISAFE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
AMERISAFE has current Price Action Indicator of 0.8. Price Action indicator evaluates an asset for a given trading period using the following formula: ((close - open) + (close - high) + (close - low)) / 2. This indicator is consistent with the interpretation of Japanese candlestick patterns.
Check AMERISAFE VolatilityBacktest AMERISAFEInformation Ratio  

AMERISAFE Trading Date Momentum

On February 01 2026 AMERISAFE was traded for  37.61  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 37.66  and the lowest listed price was  36.62 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 1, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.75% .
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
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Other Forecasting Options for AMERISAFE

For every potential investor in AMERISAFE, whether a beginner or expert, AMERISAFE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMERISAFE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMERISAFE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMERISAFE's price trends.

AMERISAFE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AMERISAFE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AMERISAFE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMERISAFE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

AMERISAFE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AMERISAFE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AMERISAFE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AMERISAFE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AMERISAFE entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

AMERISAFE Risk Indicators

The analysis of AMERISAFE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMERISAFE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amerisafe stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for AMERISAFE

The number of cover stories for AMERISAFE depends on current market conditions and AMERISAFE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMERISAFE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMERISAFE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AMERISAFE Short Properties

AMERISAFE's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMERISAFE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMERISAFE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMERISAFE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMERISAFE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130.6 M
When determining whether AMERISAFE is a strong investment it is important to analyze AMERISAFE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact AMERISAFE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding AMERISAFE Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMERISAFE to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in AMERISAFE Stock please use our How to Invest in AMERISAFE guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Can Property & Casualty Insurance industry sustain growth momentum? Does AMERISAFE have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMERISAFE. If investors know AMERISAFE will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating AMERISAFE demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Investors evaluate AMERISAFE using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AMERISAFE's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AMERISAFE's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AMERISAFE's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AMERISAFE represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AMERISAFE's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.