Ast Spacemobile Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing

Ast Spacemobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Ast Spacemobile works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Ast Spacemobile Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ast Spacemobile on the next trading day is expected to be 80.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.57, mean absolute percentage error of 48.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 328.40.

Ast Spacemobile Stock Forecast Pattern

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Ast Spacemobile Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Ast Spacemobile Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ast Spacemobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ast Spacemobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. When Ast Spacemobile prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Ast Spacemobile trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Ast Spacemobile observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ast Spacemobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ast Spacemobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 68.84 76.73 84.62 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 66.99 74.88 82.77 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High -74.93 89.59 254.11 Details

Ast Spacemobile After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Ast Spacemobile Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Ast Spacemobile Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Ast Spacemobile Hype Timeline

Ast Spacemobile is presently traded for 80.20. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.62. Ast is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 76.73. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.33%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.93%. The volatility of related hype on Ast Spacemobile is about 1184.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 80.82. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.14. Ast Spacemobile had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ast Spacemobile to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.

Ast Spacemobile Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Ast Spacemobile

For every potential investor in Ast, whether a beginner or expert, Ast Spacemobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ast Spacemobile's price trends.

Ast Spacemobile Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

Ast Spacemobile Market Strength Events

Ast Spacemobile Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Ast Spacemobile

Ast Spacemobile Short Properties

Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis