Ast Spacemobile Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ASTS Stock  USD 97.49  6.57  7.23%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ast Spacemobile on the next trading day is expected to be 69.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 572.99. Ast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Ast Spacemobile's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 92

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ast Spacemobile's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ast Spacemobile and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ast Spacemobile's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ast Spacemobile, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ast Spacemobile's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.26)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.27)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.82)
Wall Street Target Price
71.5125
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.27)
Using Ast Spacemobile hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ast Spacemobile from the perspective of Ast Spacemobile response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ast Spacemobile using Ast Spacemobile's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ast using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ast Spacemobile's stock price.

Ast Spacemobile Short Interest

An investor who is long Ast Spacemobile may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Ast Spacemobile and may potentially protect profits, hedge Ast Spacemobile with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
48.8192
Short Percent
0.1787
Short Ratio
3.16
Shares Short Prior Month
36.6 M
50 Day MA
68.9427

Ast Spacemobile Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ast Spacemobile's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ast. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ast can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ast Spacemobile. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ast Spacemobile's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ast Spacemobile.

Ast Spacemobile Implied Volatility

    
  1.19  
Ast Spacemobile's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ast Spacemobile stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ast Spacemobile's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ast Spacemobile stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ast Spacemobile's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ast Spacemobile on the next trading day is expected to be 69.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 572.99.

Ast Spacemobile after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 91.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ast Spacemobile to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Ast Stock please use our How to Invest in Ast Spacemobile guide.At this time, Ast Spacemobile's Payables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is likely to gain to 7.81 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 0.26 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 132.1 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (17.9 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ast Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ast Spacemobile's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ast Spacemobile's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ast Spacemobile stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ast Spacemobile's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ast Spacemobile's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ast Spacemobile is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ast. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Ast Spacemobile Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ast price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ast using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ast charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ast Spacemobile price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ast Spacemobile Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ast Spacemobile on the next trading day is expected to be 69.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 9.39, mean absolute percentage error of 132.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 572.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ast Spacemobile's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ast Spacemobile Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ast SpacemobileAst Spacemobile Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ast Spacemobile Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ast Spacemobile's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ast Spacemobile's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 62.53 and 76.56, respectively. We have considered Ast Spacemobile's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
97.49
69.55
Expected Value
76.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ast Spacemobile stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ast Spacemobile stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria122.996
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation9.3933
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1359
SAESum of the absolute errors572.9934
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ast Spacemobile historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ast Spacemobile

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ast Spacemobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ast Spacemobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
84.8591.8798.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.7877.80106.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.4690.42101.38
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.0871.5179.38
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ast Spacemobile

For every potential investor in Ast, whether a beginner or expert, Ast Spacemobile's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ast Spacemobile's price trends.

Ast Spacemobile Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ast Spacemobile stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ast Spacemobile could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ast Spacemobile by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ast Spacemobile Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ast Spacemobile's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ast Spacemobile's current price.

Ast Spacemobile Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ast Spacemobile stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ast Spacemobile shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ast Spacemobile stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ast Spacemobile entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ast Spacemobile Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ast Spacemobile's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ast Spacemobile's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Ast Stock Analysis

When running Ast Spacemobile's price analysis, check to measure Ast Spacemobile's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ast Spacemobile is operating at the current time. Most of Ast Spacemobile's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ast Spacemobile's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ast Spacemobile's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ast Spacemobile to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.