Bank Of Princeton Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| BPRN Stock | USD 36.13 0.77 2.09% |
Bank Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Bank Of Princeton's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Bank Of Princeton's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Bank Of Princeton fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Bank Of Princeton's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.855 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.55 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.775 | Wall Street Target Price 37.5 |
Using Bank Of Princeton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Of Princeton from the perspective of Bank Of Princeton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank Of Princeton on the next trading day is expected to be 36.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.32. Bank Of Princeton after-hype prediction price | USD 36.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Of Princeton to cross-verify your projections. Bank Of Princeton Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bank Of Princeton Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Bank Of Princeton on the next trading day is expected to be 36.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bank Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bank Of Princeton's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bank Of Princeton Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Bank Of Princeton | Bank Of Princeton Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Bank Of Princeton Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bank Of Princeton's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bank Of Princeton's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.39 and 38.07, respectively. We have considered Bank Of Princeton's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bank Of Princeton stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bank Of Princeton stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1116 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.514 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.3246 |
Predictive Modules for Bank Of Princeton
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Of Princeton. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Of Princeton After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bank Of Princeton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank Of Princeton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank Of Princeton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bank Of Princeton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bank Of Princeton's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank Of Princeton's historical news coverage. Bank Of Princeton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.04 and 38.70, respectively. We have considered Bank Of Princeton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bank Of Princeton is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank Of Princeton is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bank Of Princeton Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank Of Princeton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank Of Princeton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank Of Princeton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 1.84 | 0.04 | 0.20 | 14 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 14 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.13 | 36.87 | 0.08 |
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Bank Of Princeton Hype Timeline
Bank Of Princeton is currently traded for 36.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. Bank is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Bank Of Princeton is about 159.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.93. About 26.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bank Of Princeton last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2026. The entity had 1:1 split on the 11th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 14 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Of Princeton to cross-verify your projections.Bank Of Princeton Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bank Of Princeton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank Of Princeton's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank Of Princeton's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank Of Princeton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTYB | The Victory Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 2.61 | (0.93) | 5.26 | |
| MFBP | MF Bancorp | (11.70) | 4 per month | 1.14 | (0.01) | 3.04 | (2.34) | 7.54 | |
| FMFP | First Community Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 5.13 | (2.12) | 12.41 | |
| ANDC | Andover Bancorp | 0.19 | 2 per month | 1.07 | (0.02) | 2.16 | (2.63) | 8.35 | |
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| WDFN | Woodlands Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.63 | 0.12 | 3.70 | (1.66) | 9.15 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 1.05 | (0.16) | 3.26 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 17.10 | |
| TMAK | Touchmark Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.00 | 0.03 | 6.99 | (7.23) | 16.08 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (2.52) | 7.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Bank Of Princeton
For every potential investor in Bank, whether a beginner or expert, Bank Of Princeton's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bank Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bank. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bank Of Princeton's price trends.Bank Of Princeton Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bank Of Princeton stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bank Of Princeton could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bank Of Princeton by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bank Of Princeton Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bank Of Princeton stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bank Of Princeton shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bank Of Princeton stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bank Of Princeton entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1437.3 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 36.65 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 36.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.90) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.77) |
Bank Of Princeton Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bank Of Princeton's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bank Of Princeton's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bank stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Bank Of Princeton
The number of cover stories for Bank Of Princeton depends on current market conditions and Bank Of Princeton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank Of Princeton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank Of Princeton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bank Of Princeton Short Properties
Bank Of Princeton's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank Of Princeton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Of Princeton often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank Of Princeton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Of Princeton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 276.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bank Of Princeton to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Bank Stock, please use our How to Invest in Bank Of Princeton guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Bank diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank Of Princeton. Projected growth potential of Bank fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bank Of Princeton data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.194 | Dividend Share 1.25 | Earnings Share 2.71 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.054 |
Understanding Bank Of Princeton requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Bank's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Bank Of Princeton's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Bank Of Princeton's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Bank Of Princeton's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bank Of Princeton should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Bank Of Princeton's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.