Citizens Northern Stock Forward View
| CZNC Stock | USD 23.62 0.25 1.07% |
Citizens Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Citizens Northern stock prices and determine the direction of Citizens Northern Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Citizens Northern's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Citizens Northern's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.59 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.54 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.75 | Wall Street Target Price 23.5 |
Using Citizens Northern hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizens Northern Corp from the perspective of Citizens Northern response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Citizens Northern using Citizens Northern's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Citizens using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Citizens Northern's stock price.
Citizens Northern Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Citizens Northern's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Citizens. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Citizens Northern stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.7813 | Short Percent 0.0207 | Short Ratio 5.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 335.5 K | 50 Day MA 21.0498 |
Citizens Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Citizens Northern Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.56.Citizens Northern Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Citizens Northern's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Citizens. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Citizens can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Citizens Northern Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Citizens Northern's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Citizens Northern.
Citizens Northern Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Citizens Northern's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Citizens Northern Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Citizens Northern's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Citizens Northern stock will not fluctuate a lot when Citizens Northern's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Citizens Northern Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.56. Citizens Northern after-hype prediction price | USD 23.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Northern to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Citizens contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Citizens Northern Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0844% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Citizens Northern trading at USD 23.62, that is roughly USD 0.0199 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Citizens Northern's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Citizens Northern Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Citizens Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Citizens Northern's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Citizens Northern's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Citizens Northern stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Citizens Northern's open interest, investors have to compare it to Citizens Northern's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Citizens Northern is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Citizens. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Citizens Northern Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citizens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Citizens Northern Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Citizens Northern's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1998-03-31 | Previous Quarter 123.1 M | Current Value 23.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 41.2 M |
Citizens Northern Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Citizens Northern Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 23.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.35, mean absolute percentage error of 0.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Citizens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Citizens Northern's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Citizens Northern Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Citizens Northern | Citizens Northern Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Citizens Northern Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Citizens Northern's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Citizens Northern's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.23 and 25.45, respectively. We have considered Citizens Northern's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Citizens Northern stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Citizens Northern stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.2931 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0168 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.5601 |
Predictive Modules for Citizens Northern
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Northern Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Citizens Northern After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citizens Northern at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citizens Northern or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Citizens Northern, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citizens Northern Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citizens Northern's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citizens Northern's historical news coverage. Citizens Northern's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.22 and 25.48, respectively. We have considered Citizens Northern's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citizens Northern is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citizens Northern Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citizens Northern Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Citizens Northern is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizens Northern backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citizens Northern, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 1.61 | 0.22 | 1.04 | 7 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.62 | 23.85 | 0.97 |
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Citizens Northern Hype Timeline
Citizens Northern Corp is currently traded for 23.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.04. Citizens is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.97%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Citizens Northern is about 57.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.58. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 154.19 M. Net Income was 25.96 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 116.63 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Northern to cross-verify your projections.Citizens Northern Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citizens Northern's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citizens Northern's future price movements. Getting to know how Citizens Northern's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citizens Northern may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTYB | The Victory Bancorp | (1.32) | 15 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 2.61 | (0.93) | 5.26 | |
| MFBP | MF Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.14 | (0.01) | 3.04 | (2.34) | 7.54 | |
| FMFP | First Community Financial | (6.25) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.07 | 5.13 | (2.12) | 12.41 | |
| ANDC | Andover Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.07 | (0.02) | 2.16 | (2.63) | 8.35 | |
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | (3.10) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| WDFN | Woodlands Financial Services | (19.31) | 6 per month | 0.63 | 0.12 | 3.70 | (1.66) | 9.15 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.19 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 1.05 | (0.16) | 3.26 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | 0.87 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.1 | 0.14 | 0.00 | 17.10 | |
| TMAK | Touchmark Bancshares | 0.87 | 12 per month | 3.00 | 0.03 | 6.99 | (7.23) | 16.08 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.55 | 0.01 | 2.58 | (2.52) | 7.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Citizens Northern
For every potential investor in Citizens, whether a beginner or expert, Citizens Northern's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Citizens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Citizens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Citizens Northern's price trends.Citizens Northern Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Citizens Northern stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Citizens Northern could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Citizens Northern by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Citizens Northern Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Citizens Northern stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Citizens Northern shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Citizens Northern stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Citizens Northern Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1804.48 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4237 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 23.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.7 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.25 |
Citizens Northern Risk Indicators
The analysis of Citizens Northern's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Citizens Northern's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting citizens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.14 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Citizens Northern
The number of cover stories for Citizens Northern depends on current market conditions and Citizens Northern's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citizens Northern is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citizens Northern's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Citizens Northern to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Citizens diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citizens Northern. Projected growth potential of Citizens fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Citizens Northern data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 1.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.245 |
Understanding Citizens Northern Corp requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Citizens's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Citizens Northern's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Citizens Northern's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Citizens Northern's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Citizens Northern should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Citizens Northern's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.