Fastenal Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

FAST Stock  USD 40.44  0.31  0.77%   
Fastenal Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Fastenal's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Fastenal's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Fastenal Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Fastenal's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.115
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2685
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.0997
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.2184
Wall Street Target Price
44
Using Fastenal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fastenal Company from the perspective of Fastenal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fastenal using Fastenal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fastenal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fastenal's stock price.

Fastenal Short Interest

An investor who is long Fastenal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fastenal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fastenal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
43.0793
Short Percent
0.0313
Short Ratio
4.54
Shares Short Prior Month
29.4 M
50 Day MA
41.2072

Fastenal Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Fastenal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fastenal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fastenal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fastenal Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fastenal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fastenal.

Fastenal Implied Volatility

    
  0.27  
Fastenal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fastenal Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fastenal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fastenal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fastenal's options are near their expiration.

Fastenal after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fastenal to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Fastenal's Receivables Turnover is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 7.83 in 2026, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 2.48 in 2026. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.3 B in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 1.3 B in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fastenal Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fastenal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fastenal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fastenal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fastenal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fastenal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fastenal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fastenal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Fastenal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Fastenal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fastenal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fastenal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Fastenal Company has current Accumulation Distribution of 146079.0. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Fastenal is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Fastenal Company to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Fastenal trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check Fastenal VolatilityBacktest FastenalInformation Ratio  

Fastenal Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 Fastenal Company was traded for  40.44  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 40.69  and the lowest listed price was  39.86 . The trading volume for the day was 7.2 M. The trading history from January 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.52% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare Fastenal to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Fastenal

For every potential investor in Fastenal, whether a beginner or expert, Fastenal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fastenal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fastenal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fastenal's price trends.

Fastenal Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fastenal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fastenal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fastenal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fastenal Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fastenal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fastenal's current price.

Fastenal Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fastenal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fastenal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fastenal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fastenal Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fastenal Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fastenal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fastenal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fastenal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis

When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.