Fastenal Stock Forward View - Price Action Indicator
| FAST Stock | USD 43.36 0.04 0.09% |
Fastenal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Fastenal's share price is at 55. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Fastenal, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2955 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2215 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3407 | Wall Street Target Price 44.5308 |
Using Fastenal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fastenal Company from the perspective of Fastenal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Fastenal using Fastenal's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Fastenal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Fastenal's stock price.
Fastenal Short Interest
An investor who is long Fastenal may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Fastenal and may potentially protect profits, hedge Fastenal with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 43.5279 | Short Percent 0.0314 | Short Ratio 3.95 | Shares Short Prior Month 31.4 M | 50 Day MA 41.7142 |
Fastenal Relative Strength Index
Fastenal Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fastenal's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fastenal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fastenal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fastenal Company. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fastenal's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fastenal.
Fastenal Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
Fastenal's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fastenal Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fastenal's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fastenal stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fastenal's options are near their expiration.
Fastenal after-hype prediction price | USD 43.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fastenal to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Fastenal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Fastenal Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Fastenal trading at USD 43.36, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Fastenal's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Fastenal Company options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Fastenal Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fastenal's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fastenal's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fastenal stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fastenal's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fastenal's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fastenal is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fastenal. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Fastenal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fastenal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fastenal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fastenal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Fastenal Volatility | Backtest Fastenal | Information Ratio |
Fastenal Trading Date Momentum
| On February 02 2026 Fastenal Company was traded for 43.36 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 43.39 and the lowest listed price was 42.74 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 2, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.09% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Fastenal to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Fastenal
For every potential investor in Fastenal, whether a beginner or expert, Fastenal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fastenal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fastenal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fastenal's price trends.Fastenal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fastenal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fastenal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fastenal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fastenal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fastenal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fastenal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fastenal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fastenal Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fastenal Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fastenal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fastenal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fastenal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.15) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Fastenal
The number of cover stories for Fastenal depends on current market conditions and Fastenal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fastenal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fastenal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Fastenal Short Properties
Fastenal's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fastenal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fastenal Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fastenal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fastenal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 276.8 M |
Additional Tools for Fastenal Stock Analysis
When running Fastenal's price analysis, check to measure Fastenal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fastenal is operating at the current time. Most of Fastenal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fastenal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fastenal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fastenal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.