First Guaranty Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| FGBI Stock | USD 9.23 0.03 0.33% |
First Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of First Guaranty's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 11th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of First Guaranty's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.554 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.38 | Wall Street Target Price 9 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.29) |
Using First Guaranty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Guaranty Bancshares from the perspective of First Guaranty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
First Guaranty after-hype prediction price | USD 9.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Guaranty to cross-verify your projections. First Guaranty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 129.86 | 0.0033 |
| Check First Guaranty Volatility | Backtest First Guaranty | Information Ratio |
First Guaranty Trading Date Momentum
| On February 11 2026 First Guaranty Bancshares was traded for 9.23 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 9.23 and the lowest listed price was 9.20 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 11, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.33% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare First Guaranty to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for First Guaranty
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Guaranty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Guaranty's price trends.First Guaranty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Guaranty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Guaranty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Guaranty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Guaranty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Guaranty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Guaranty Bancshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Guaranty Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Guaranty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Guaranty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.03 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.58 | |||
| Variance | 21.02 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.97 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for First Guaranty
The number of cover stories for First Guaranty depends on current market conditions and First Guaranty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Guaranty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Guaranty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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First Guaranty Short Properties
First Guaranty's future price predictability will typically decrease when First Guaranty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First Guaranty Bancshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First Guaranty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Guaranty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 21.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Guaranty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is there potential for Regional Banks market expansion? Will First introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Guaranty. Market participants price First higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about First Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.554 | Dividend Share 0.04 | Earnings Share (4.20) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.034 |
First Guaranty Bancshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on First's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate First Guaranty's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since First Guaranty's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.