First Community Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Regression

First Community Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through First Community price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

First Community Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of First Community Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 14.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.28, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.23.

First Community Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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First Community Price Prediction

Buy or Sell Advice

First Community Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of First Community pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent First Community pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as First Community Financial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for First Community

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Community Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 12.69 14.57 16.45 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 10.10 11.98 16.04 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 13.34 14.17 15.01 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Community. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Community's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Community's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Community Financial.

First Community After-Hype Price Density Analysis

First Community Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

First Community Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

First Community Hype Timeline

First Community Financial is currently traded for 14.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on First Community is about 15666.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.58. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Community Financial last dividend was issued on the 8th of December 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 22nd of May 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Community to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in First Pink Sheet, please use our How to Invest in First Community guide.

First Community Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for First Community

For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Community's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Community's price trends.

First Community Related Equities

Risk & Return

Correlation

First Community Market Strength Events

First Community Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for First Community

Other Macroaxis Stories

Additional Tools for First Pink Sheet Analysis