Five Star Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| FSBC Stock | USD 39.80 0.16 0.40% |
Five Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Five Star stock prices and determine the direction of Five Star Bancorp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Five Star's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Five Star's stock price is about 64. This usually indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Five, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.49 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.742 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.83 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.358 | Wall Street Target Price 40.8 |
Using Five Star hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Five Star Bancorp from the perspective of Five Star response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Five Star using Five Star's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Five using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Five Star's stock price.
Five Star Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Five Star's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Five. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Five Star stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 31.5966 | Short Percent 0.0175 | Short Ratio 4.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 318.6 K | 50 Day MA 35.7556 |
Five Star Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Five Star's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Five. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Five can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Five Star Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Five Star Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Five Star's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Five Star Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Five Star's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Five Star stock will not fluctuate a lot when Five Star's options are near their expiration.
Five Star after-hype prediction price | USD 39.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five Star to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Five contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Five Star Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Five Star trading at USD 39.8, that is roughly USD 0.0214 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Five Star's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Five Star Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Five Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Five Star's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Five Star's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Five Star stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Five Star's open interest, investors have to compare it to Five Star's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Five Star is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Five. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Five Star Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Five price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Five using various technical indicators. When you analyze Five charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 4350.22 | 1744.27 |
| Check Five Star Volatility | Backtest Five Star | Information Ratio |
Five Star Trading Date Momentum
| On January 22 2026 Five Star Bancorp was traded for 39.80 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 40.31 and the lowest listed price was 39.55 . The trading volume for the day was 92.5 K. The trading history from January 22, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 0.43% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Five Star to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Five Star
For every potential investor in Five, whether a beginner or expert, Five Star's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Five Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Five. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Five Star's price trends.Five Star Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Five Star stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Five Star could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Five Star by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Five Star Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Five Star stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Five Star shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Five Star stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Five Star Bancorp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Five Star Risk Indicators
The analysis of Five Star's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Five Star's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting five stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.88 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Five Star
The number of cover stories for Five Star depends on current market conditions and Five Star's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Five Star is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Five Star's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Five Star Short Properties
Five Star's future price predictability will typically decrease when Five Star's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Five Star Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Five Star's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Five Star's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 454.7 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Five Star to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Five Star. If investors know Five will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Five Star listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.49 | Dividend Share 0.8 | Earnings Share 2.7 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.338 |
The market value of Five Star Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Five that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Five Star's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Five Star's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Five Star's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Five Star's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Five Star's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Five Star is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Five Star's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.