First Watch Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| FWRG Stock | USD 15.37 0.29 1.92% |
First Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of First Watch's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026, The relative strength indicator of First Watch's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Watch, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.634 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0849 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1667 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.3419 | Wall Street Target Price 22.3636 |
Using First Watch hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Watch Restaurant from the perspective of First Watch response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards First Watch using First Watch's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards First using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of First Watch's stock price.
First Watch Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in First Watch's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards First. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of First Watch stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.0157 | Short Percent 0.1356 | Short Ratio 4.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 16.8868 |
First Watch Restaurant Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to First Watch's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in First. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding First can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around First Watch Restaurant. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of First Watch's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about First Watch.
First Watch Implied Volatility | 0.96 |
First Watch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of First Watch Restaurant stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if First Watch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that First Watch stock will not fluctuate a lot when First Watch's options are near their expiration.
First Watch after-hype prediction price | USD 15.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Watch to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 First Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast First Watch's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in First Watch's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for First Watch stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current First Watch's open interest, investors have to compare it to First Watch's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of First Watch is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in First. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
First Watch Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0322 | 0.0322 |
| Check First Watch Volatility | Backtest First Watch | Information Ratio |
First Watch Trading Date Momentum
| On January 05 2026 First Watch Restaurant was traded for 15.37 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 15.52 and the lowest listed price was 15.02 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 5, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.89% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare First Watch to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for First Watch
For every potential investor in First, whether a beginner or expert, First Watch's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. First Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in First. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying First Watch's price trends.First Watch Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with First Watch stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of First Watch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing First Watch by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
First Watch Restaurant Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of First Watch's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of First Watch's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
First Watch Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how First Watch stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading First Watch shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying First Watch stock market strength indicators, traders can identify First Watch Restaurant entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
First Watch Risk Indicators
The analysis of First Watch's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in First Watch's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting first stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.24 | |||
| Variance | 10.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.64 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.17 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.64) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether First Watch Restaurant is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Watch's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Watch's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of First Watch to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Watch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.634 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.256 | Return On Assets |
The market value of First Watch Restaurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Watch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Watch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Watch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Watch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Watch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.