Jiayin Stock Forward View
| JFIN Stock | USD 6.37 0.33 5.46% |
Jiayin Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Jiayin's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Jiayin's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Jiayin fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Jiayin's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.447 | Wall Street Target Price 11.31 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
Using Jiayin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jiayin Group from the perspective of Jiayin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Jiayin using Jiayin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Jiayin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Jiayin's stock price.
Jiayin Short Interest
An investor who is long Jiayin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Jiayin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Jiayin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.2988 | Short Percent 0.0068 | Short Ratio 0.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 87 K | 50 Day MA 6.7544 |
Jiayin Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jiayin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.71.Jiayin Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Jiayin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Jiayin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Jiayin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Jiayin Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Jiayin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Jiayin.
Jiayin Implied Volatility | 1.21 |
Jiayin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Jiayin Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Jiayin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Jiayin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Jiayin's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jiayin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.71. Jiayin after-hype prediction price | USD 6.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiayin to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Jiayin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Jiayin Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0756% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Jiayin trading at USD 6.37, that is roughly USD 0.004817 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Jiayin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Jiayin Group options at the current volatility level of 1.21%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Jiayin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Jiayin's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Jiayin's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Jiayin stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Jiayin's open interest, investors have to compare it to Jiayin's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Jiayin is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Jiayin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Jiayin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jiayin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jiayin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jiayin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Jiayin Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Jiayin's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 2017-12-31 | Previous Quarter 316.2 M | Current Value 124.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 259.3 M |
Jiayin Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Jiayin Group on the next trading day is expected to be 5.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Jiayin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Jiayin's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Jiayin Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Jiayin | Jiayin Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Jiayin Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Jiayin's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Jiayin's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.65 and 8.77, respectively. We have considered Jiayin's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Jiayin stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Jiayin stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2828 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1919 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0281 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.7088 |
Predictive Modules for Jiayin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jiayin Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Jiayin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jiayin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jiayin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jiayin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jiayin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jiayin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jiayin's historical news coverage. Jiayin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.10 and 9.22, respectively. We have considered Jiayin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jiayin is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jiayin Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jiayin Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jiayin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jiayin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jiayin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.68 | 3.06 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.37 | 6.16 | 1.99 |
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Jiayin Hype Timeline
Jiayin Group is currently traded for 6.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Jiayin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 1.99%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.68%. The volatility of related hype on Jiayin is about 3438.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.43. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.8 B. Net Income was 1.06 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.29 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiayin to cross-verify your projections.Jiayin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jiayin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jiayin's future price movements. Getting to know how Jiayin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jiayin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THRY | Thryv Holdings | (0.43) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 4.32 | (6.80) | 18.57 | |
| TBLA | Taboola | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.10 | 0.01 | 3.85 | (3.90) | 17.80 | |
| ANGI | ANGI Homeservices | 0.27 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.29 | (5.42) | 18.99 | |
| GCI | Gannett Co | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 0.98 | (2.21) | 83.34 | |
| GTN | Gray Television | 0.00 | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.13 | (4.31) | 13.88 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | 0.96 | 8 per month | 4.29 | 0.02 | 6.53 | (6.11) | 30.05 | |
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.16 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.93 | (5.15) | 15.02 | |
| PERI | Perion Network | (0.03) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.82 | (3.15) | 14.14 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.10 | (4.88) | 22.47 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.06 | (9.00) | 37.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Jiayin
For every potential investor in Jiayin, whether a beginner or expert, Jiayin's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Jiayin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Jiayin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Jiayin's price trends.Jiayin Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Jiayin stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Jiayin could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jiayin by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Jiayin Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Jiayin stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Jiayin shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Jiayin stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Jiayin Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Jiayin Risk Indicators
The analysis of Jiayin's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Jiayin's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jiayin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.06 | |||
| Variance | 9.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Jiayin
The number of cover stories for Jiayin depends on current market conditions and Jiayin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jiayin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jiayin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jiayin Short Properties
Jiayin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jiayin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jiayin Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jiayin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiayin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 53.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 540.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Jiayin to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Will Consumer Finance sector continue expanding? Could Jiayin diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Jiayin. Expected growth trajectory for Jiayin significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Jiayin data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.447 | Dividend Share 5.838 | Earnings Share 9.52 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
Jiayin Group's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Jiayin's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Jiayin's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Jiayin's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Jiayin's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Jiayin represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Jiayin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.