RBC Bearings Stock Forward View
| RBC Stock | USD 516.78 0.68 0.13% |
RBC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RBC Bearings stock prices and determine the direction of RBC Bearings Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of RBC Bearings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of RBC Bearings' stock price is about 68 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling RBC, making its price go up or down. Momentum 68
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RBC Bearings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RBC Bearings Incorporated from the perspective of RBC Bearings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Bearings Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 505.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.55. RBC Bearings after-hype prediction price | USD 516.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Bearings to cross-verify your projections. RBC Bearings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze RBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RBC Bearings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Bearings Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 505.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.17, mean absolute percentage error of 40.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 315.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RBC Bearings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RBC Bearings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RBC Bearings | RBC Bearings Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
RBC Bearings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RBC Bearings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RBC Bearings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 503.89 and 506.56, respectively. We have considered RBC Bearings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RBC Bearings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RBC Bearings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.8116 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.173 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 315.5533 |
Predictive Modules for RBC Bearings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RBC Bearings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RBC Bearings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RBC Bearings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RBC Bearings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of RBC Bearings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RBC Bearings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RBC Bearings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RBC Bearings' historical news coverage. RBC Bearings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 515.44 and 518.12, respectively. We have considered RBC Bearings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RBC Bearings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RBC Bearings is based on 3 months time horizon.
RBC Bearings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as RBC Bearings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RBC Bearings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RBC Bearings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
516.78 | 516.78 | 0.00 |
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RBC Bearings Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February RBC Bearings is traded for 516.78. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.21. RBC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on RBC Bearings is about 194.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 516.99. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.45. RBC Bearings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of May 2014. The firm had 2:1 split on the 15th of August 1994. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Bearings to cross-verify your projections.RBC Bearings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RBC Bearings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RBC Bearings' future price movements. Getting to know how RBC Bearings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RBC Bearings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 5.64 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.14 | 3.03 | (2.84) | 7.77 | |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | 0.72 | 11 per month | 0.95 | 0.17 | 3.87 | (1.96) | 7.61 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | (0.35) | 9 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 2.51 | (1.86) | 6.74 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | 0.71 | 11 per month | 0.94 | 0.07 | 2.57 | (1.68) | 6.45 | |
| RTO | Rentokil Initial PLC | (0.05) | 9 per month | 1.01 | 0.14 | 2.95 | (2.11) | 6.98 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | 0.68 | 12 per month | 1.47 | 0.26 | 3.95 | (3.13) | 8.49 | |
| STN | Stantec | 1.65 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.96 | (2.27) | 8.69 | |
| TXT | Textron | (0.72) | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.1 | 2.31 | (1.64) | 11.43 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | (0.70) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.97 | (2.05) | 7.90 | |
| SWK | Stanley Black Decker | (0.69) | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.14 | 4.60 | (2.60) | 10.50 |
Other Forecasting Options for RBC Bearings
For every potential investor in RBC, whether a beginner or expert, RBC Bearings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RBC Bearings' price trends.RBC Bearings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RBC Bearings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RBC Bearings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RBC Bearings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RBC Bearings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RBC Bearings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RBC Bearings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RBC Bearings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RBC Bearings Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
RBC Bearings Risk Indicators
The analysis of RBC Bearings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBC Bearings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rbc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9718 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8953 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8016 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.99) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RBC Bearings
The number of cover stories for RBC Bearings depends on current market conditions and RBC Bearings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RBC Bearings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RBC Bearings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RBC Bearings Short Properties
RBC Bearings' future price predictability will typically decrease when RBC Bearings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RBC Bearings Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RBC Bearings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RBC Bearings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Bearings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Will Electrical Components & Equipment sector continue expanding? Could RBC diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RBC Bearings. Anticipated expansion of RBC directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every RBC Bearings data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
RBC Bearings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on RBC's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate RBC Bearings' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since RBC Bearings' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between RBC Bearings' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding RBC Bearings should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, RBC Bearings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.