RBC Bearings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RBC Stock  USD 458.79  10.36  2.31%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Bearings Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 443.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 347.17. RBC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast RBC Bearings stock prices and determine the direction of RBC Bearings Incorporated's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RBC Bearings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of RBC Bearings' share price is approaching 36 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RBC Bearings, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of RBC Bearings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with RBC Bearings Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting RBC Bearings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.152
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.7578
EPS Estimate Current Year
11.841
EPS Estimate Next Year
13.3567
Wall Street Target Price
482.8333
Using RBC Bearings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RBC Bearings Incorporated from the perspective of RBC Bearings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards RBC Bearings using RBC Bearings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards RBC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of RBC Bearings' stock price.

RBC Bearings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in RBC Bearings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards RBC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of RBC Bearings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
386.7354
Short Percent
0.0082
Short Ratio
1.46
Shares Short Prior Month
353.4 K
50 Day MA
437.619

RBC Bearings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to RBC Bearings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in RBC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding RBC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around RBC Bearings Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of RBC Bearings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about RBC Bearings.

RBC Bearings Implied Volatility

    
  0.4  
RBC Bearings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of RBC Bearings Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if RBC Bearings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that RBC Bearings stock will not fluctuate a lot when RBC Bearings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Bearings Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 443.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 347.17.

RBC Bearings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 458.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Bearings to cross-verify your projections.
At present, RBC Bearings' Payables Turnover is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to grow to 3.96, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 4.31. . As of January 5, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 22.2 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to decline to about 207 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 RBC Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast RBC Bearings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in RBC Bearings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for RBC Bearings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current RBC Bearings' open interest, investors have to compare it to RBC Bearings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of RBC Bearings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in RBC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

RBC Bearings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine RBC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RBC using various technical indicators. When you analyze RBC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

RBC Bearings Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the RBC Bearings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1995-06-30
Previous Quarter
132.9 M
Current Value
91.2 M
Quarterly Volatility
172.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for RBC Bearings is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RBC Bearings Incorporated value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RBC Bearings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RBC Bearings Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 443.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.69, mean absolute percentage error of 45.57, and the sum of the absolute errors of 347.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RBC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RBC Bearings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RBC Bearings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest RBC BearingsRBC Bearings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

RBC Bearings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RBC Bearings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RBC Bearings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 442.05 and 445.21, respectively. We have considered RBC Bearings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
458.79
442.05
Downside
443.63
Expected Value
445.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RBC Bearings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RBC Bearings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.9298
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation5.6914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors347.1745
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RBC Bearings Incorporated. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RBC Bearings. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RBC Bearings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RBC Bearings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
457.32458.90460.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
412.91497.35498.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
445.57455.34465.10
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
439.38482.83535.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as RBC Bearings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against RBC Bearings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, RBC Bearings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in RBC Bearings.

Other Forecasting Options for RBC Bearings

For every potential investor in RBC, whether a beginner or expert, RBC Bearings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RBC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RBC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RBC Bearings' price trends.

RBC Bearings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RBC Bearings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RBC Bearings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RBC Bearings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RBC Bearings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RBC Bearings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RBC Bearings' current price.

RBC Bearings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RBC Bearings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RBC Bearings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RBC Bearings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify RBC Bearings Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

RBC Bearings Risk Indicators

The analysis of RBC Bearings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RBC Bearings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rbc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether RBC Bearings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of RBC Bearings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rbc Bearings Incorporated Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rbc Bearings Incorporated Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RBC Bearings to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of RBC Bearings. If investors know RBC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about RBC Bearings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.152
Earnings Share
8.21
Revenue Per Share
55.045
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.144
Return On Assets
0.0502
The market value of RBC Bearings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RBC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RBC Bearings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RBC Bearings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RBC Bearings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RBC Bearings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RBC Bearings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RBC Bearings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RBC Bearings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.