SLM Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SLM Stock | USD 27.62 0.92 3.45% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SLM Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.75. SLM Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although SLM Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SLM Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SLM Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of SLM Corp's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8715 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.7386 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1661 | Wall Street Target Price 31.7273 |
Using SLM Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SLM Corp from the perspective of SLM Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SLM Corp using SLM Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SLM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SLM Corp's stock price.
SLM Corp Short Interest
An investor who is long SLM Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SLM Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge SLM Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 29.5828 | Short Percent 0.0688 | Short Ratio 3.34 | Shares Short Prior Month 10.9 M | 50 Day MA 27.6956 |
SLM Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SLM Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SLM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SLM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SLM Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
SLM Corp Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
SLM Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SLM Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SLM Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SLM Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when SLM Corp's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SLM Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.75. SLM Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 27.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLM Corp to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SLM contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SLM Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With SLM Corp trading at USD 27.62, that is roughly USD 0.007596 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating SLM Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring SLM Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 SLM Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SLM Corp's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SLM Corp's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SLM Corp stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SLM Corp's open interest, investors have to compare it to SLM Corp's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SLM Corp is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SLM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SLM Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SLM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SLM using various technical indicators. When you analyze SLM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SLM Corp Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the SLM Corp's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1989-06-30 | Previous Quarter 3.5 B | Current Value 4 B | Quarterly Volatility 2.3 B |
SLM Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SLM Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 26.43 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.68, mean absolute percentage error of 0.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SLM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SLM Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SLM Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SLM Corp | SLM Corp Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SLM Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SLM Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SLM Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.85 and 29.01, respectively. We have considered SLM Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SLM Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SLM Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.8153 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6845 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0246 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.752 |
Predictive Modules for SLM Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SLM Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.SLM Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SLM Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SLM Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SLM Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SLM Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SLM Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SLM Corp's historical news coverage. SLM Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.02 and 30.22, respectively. We have considered SLM Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SLM Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SLM Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
SLM Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SLM Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SLM Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SLM Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.58 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.62 | 27.62 | 0.00 |
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SLM Corp Hype Timeline
On the 25th of January SLM Corp is traded for 27.62. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. SLM is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on SLM Corp is about 327.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.63. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of SLM Corp was at this time reported as 10.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.58. SLM Corp last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2026. The entity had 2798:1000 split on the 1st of May 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLM Corp to cross-verify your projections.SLM Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SLM Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SLM Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how SLM Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SLM Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JSM | Navient SR | 0.24 | 8 per month | 0.71 | (0.06) | 1.31 | (1.48) | 3.31 | |
| CACC | Credit Acceptance | 3.37 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.97 | (5.96) | 12.77 | |
| OBDC | Blue Owl Capital | (0.62) | 18 per month | 1.39 | (0.04) | 2.03 | (1.69) | 7.35 | |
| NNI | Nelnet Inc | 0.24 | 5 per month | 1.32 | (0.05) | 2.43 | (2.15) | 6.95 | |
| FNB | FNB Corp | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.07 | 2.90 | (2.05) | 5.71 | |
| COLB | Columbia Banking System | 0.61 | 9 per month | 1.15 | 0.09 | 3.20 | (1.94) | 8.86 | |
| ESNT | Essent Group | (0.70) | 11 per month | 1.34 | (0.02) | 1.65 | (2.09) | 8.39 | |
| OMF | OneMain Holdings | (0.62) | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.10 | 3.48 | (2.89) | 12.22 | |
| THG | The Hanover Insurance | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.84 | (2.03) | 6.34 | |
| PIPR | Piper Sandler Companies | 5.58 | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.04 | 3.02 | (3.13) | 8.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for SLM Corp
For every potential investor in SLM, whether a beginner or expert, SLM Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SLM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SLM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SLM Corp's price trends.SLM Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SLM Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SLM Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SLM Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SLM Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SLM Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SLM Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SLM Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SLM Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SLM Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of SLM Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SLM Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting slm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.58 | |||
| Variance | 6.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.42) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for SLM Corp
The number of cover stories for SLM Corp depends on current market conditions and SLM Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SLM Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SLM Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SLM Corp Short Properties
SLM Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when SLM Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SLM Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SLM Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SLM Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 207.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -117.5 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.52 | |
| Shares Float | 201.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SLM Corp to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in SLM Stock, please use our How to Invest in SLM Corp guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Is Consumer Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SLM Corp. If investors know SLM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SLM Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.71) | Earnings Share 3.46 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 2.256 | Return On Assets |
The market value of SLM Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SLM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SLM Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SLM Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SLM Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SLM Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SLM Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SLM Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SLM Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.