Triumph Financial Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| TFIN Stock | 63.09 2.03 3.12% |
Triumph Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Triumph Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Triumph Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Triumph Financial fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Triumph Financial's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Triumph Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.305 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.565 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.744 | Wall Street Target Price 66 |
Using Triumph Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triumph Financial from the perspective of Triumph Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Triumph Financial using Triumph Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Triumph using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Triumph Financial's stock price.
Triumph Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Triumph Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Triumph Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Triumph Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 57.7805 | Short Percent 0.1723 | Short Ratio 10.98 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 61.3318 |
Triumph Relative Strength Index
Triumph Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Triumph Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Triumph. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Triumph can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Triumph Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Triumph Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Triumph Financial.
Triumph Financial Implied Volatility | 0.56 |
Triumph Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Triumph Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Triumph Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Triumph Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Triumph Financial's options are near their expiration.
Triumph Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 63.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Triumph contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Triumph Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.035% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Triumph Financial trading at USD 63.09, that is roughly USD 0.0221 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Triumph Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Triumph Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.56%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Triumph Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Triumph Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Triumph Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Triumph Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Triumph Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Triumph Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Triumph Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Triumph. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triumph Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triumph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 20267.63 | 0.0592 |
| Check Triumph Financial Volatility | Backtest Triumph Financial | Information Ratio |
Triumph Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 31 2026 Triumph Financial was traded for 63.09 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 65.90 and the lowest listed price was 62.00 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 31, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.73% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Triumph Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Triumph Financial
For every potential investor in Triumph, whether a beginner or expert, Triumph Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triumph Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triumph. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triumph Financial's price trends.Triumph Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triumph Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triumph Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triumph Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Triumph Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triumph Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triumph Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triumph Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triumph Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Triumph Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Triumph Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triumph Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting triumph stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.96 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.62 | |||
| Variance | 6.86 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.66 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Triumph Financial
The number of cover stories for Triumph Financial depends on current market conditions and Triumph Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triumph Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triumph Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph Financial to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide.You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Triumph diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph Financial. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triumph Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
Triumph Financial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Triumph's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Triumph Financial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Triumph Financial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.