Triumph Financial Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TFIN Stock | 65.30 1.93 3.05% |
Triumph Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Triumph Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Triumph Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Triumph Financial fundamentals over time.
As of today The relative strength index (RSI) of Triumph Financial's share price is above 80 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 95
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.305 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.565 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.744 | Wall Street Target Price 65 |
Using Triumph Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triumph Financial from the perspective of Triumph Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Triumph Financial using Triumph Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Triumph using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Triumph Financial's stock price.
Triumph Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Triumph Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Triumph Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Triumph Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 57.127 | Short Percent 0.1664 | Short Ratio 11.82 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.5 M | 50 Day MA 57.9384 |
Triumph Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Triumph Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Triumph. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Triumph can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Triumph Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Triumph Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Triumph Financial.
Triumph Financial Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
Triumph Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Triumph Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Triumph Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Triumph Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Triumph Financial's options are near their expiration.
Triumph Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 66.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph Financial to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Triumph Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Triumph Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Triumph Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Triumph Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Triumph Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Triumph Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Triumph Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Triumph. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triumph Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triumph price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triumph using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triumph charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 0.0659 | 0.0659 |
| Check Triumph Financial Volatility | Backtest Triumph Financial | Information Ratio |
Triumph Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On January 05 2026 Triumph Financial was traded for 65.30 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 66.15 and the lowest listed price was 61.79 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 5, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 2.96% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Triumph Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Triumph Financial
For every potential investor in Triumph, whether a beginner or expert, Triumph Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triumph Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triumph. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triumph Financial's price trends.Triumph Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triumph Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triumph Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triumph Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Triumph Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Triumph Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Triumph Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triumph Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triumph Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triumph Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triumph Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triumph Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Triumph Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Triumph Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triumph Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting triumph stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.85 | |||
| Variance | 8.14 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.37) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with Triumph Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Triumph Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Triumph Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Triumph Stock
Moving against Triumph Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Triumph Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Triumph Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Triumph Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Triumph Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Triumph Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Triumph Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Triumph Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Triumph Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph Financial to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Triumph Stock, please use our How to Invest in Triumph Financial guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph Financial. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triumph Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.80) | Earnings Share 0.28 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.03 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Triumph Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triumph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triumph Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triumph Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triumph Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triumph Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.