Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.95
| BAFN Stock | USD 6.95 0.09 1.28% |
Bayfirst Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 6.95
The tendency of Bayfirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.95 | 90 days | 6.95 | about 80.03 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bayfirst Financial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.03 (This Bayfirst Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bayfirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Bayfirst Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bayfirst Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bayfirst Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bayfirst Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bayfirst Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bayfirst Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bayfirst Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bayfirst Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.80 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bayfirst Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bayfirst Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bayfirst Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bayfirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily |
Bayfirst Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bayfirst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bayfirst Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayfirst Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34.5 M |
Bayfirst Financial Technical Analysis
Bayfirst Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bayfirst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bayfirst Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bayfirst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bayfirst Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bayfirst Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bayfirst Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bayfirst Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bayfirst Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bayfirst Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bayfirst Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bayfirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: and the Role of Price-Sensitive Allocations - Stock Traders Daily |
Check out Bayfirst Financial Analysis, Bayfirst Financial Valuation, Bayfirst Financial Correlation, Bayfirst Financial Hype Analysis, Bayfirst Financial Volatility, Bayfirst Financial Price History as well as Bayfirst Financial Performance. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Bayfirst diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. Projected growth potential of Bayfirst fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bayfirst Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 6.094 | Dividend Share 0.16 | Earnings Share (5.93) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.68) |
Investors evaluate Bayfirst Financial Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bayfirst Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bayfirst Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bayfirst Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.