Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Technical Analysis
| BAFN Stock | USD 6.52 0.28 4.12% |
As of the 30th of January, Bayfirst Financial shows the Standard Deviation of 2.36, mean deviation of 1.52, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16). Bayfirst Financial Corp technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices.
Bayfirst Financial Momentum Analysis
Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Bayfirst, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to BayfirstBayfirst Financial's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Bayfirst diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. Projected growth potential of Bayfirst fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bayfirst Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Bayfirst Financial Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bayfirst Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bayfirst Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bayfirst Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.
Bayfirst Financial 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Bayfirst Financial's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Bayfirst Financial.
| 11/01/2025 |
| 01/30/2026 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Bayfirst Financial on November 1, 2025 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Bayfirst Financial Corp or generate 0.0% return on investment in Bayfirst Financial over 90 days. Bayfirst Financial is related to or competes with Tectonic Financial, OptimumBank Holdings, MDB Capital, Kentucky First, Texas Community, Marathon Bancorp, and Home Federal. BayFirst Financial Corp. operates as the bank holding company for First Home Bank that provides commercial and consumer ... More
Bayfirst Financial Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Bayfirst Financial's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Bayfirst Financial Corp upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.79 |
Bayfirst Financial Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Bayfirst Financial's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Bayfirst Financial's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Bayfirst Financial historical prices to predict the future Bayfirst Financial's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.27 |
Bayfirst Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.28 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (426.45) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.27 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.79 | |||
| Skewness | (0.96) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.72 |
Bayfirst Financial Corp Backtested Returns
Bayfirst Financial Corp secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.23, which signifies that the company had a -0.23 % return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Bayfirst Financial Corp exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Bayfirst Financial's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.16), mean deviation of 1.52, and Standard Deviation of 2.36 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.44, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Bayfirst Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Bayfirst Financial is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Bayfirst Financial Corp has a negative expected return of -0.55%. Please make sure to confirm Bayfirst Financial's accumulation distribution, as well as the relationship between the day typical price and relative strength index , to decide if Bayfirst Financial Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.61 |
Good predictability
Bayfirst Financial Corp has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Bayfirst Financial time series from 1st of November 2025 to 16th of December 2025 and 16th of December 2025 to 30th of January 2026. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Bayfirst Financial Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.61 indicates that roughly 61.0% of current Bayfirst Financial price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.61 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.64 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.48 |
Bayfirst Financial technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
Bayfirst Financial Corp Technical Analysis
The output start index for this execution was twenty-four with a total number of output elements of thirty-seven. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Bayfirst Financial Corp volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.
About Bayfirst Financial Technical Analysis
The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Bayfirst Financial Corp on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bayfirst Financial Corp based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Bayfirst Financial Corp price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Bayfirst Financial Corp. By analyzing Bayfirst Financial's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Bayfirst Financial specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Bayfirst Financial January 30, 2026 Technical Indicators
Most technical analysis of Bayfirst help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bayfirst from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Bayfirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.16) | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 1.28 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | (426.45) | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.55 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.26) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.54) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.73) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.27 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 11.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.12) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.79 | |||
| Skewness | (0.96) | |||
| Kurtosis | 4.72 |
Bayfirst Financial January 30, 2026 Daily Trend Indicators
Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Bayfirst stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.04 | ||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.04) | ||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | ||
| Day Median Price | 6.46 | ||
| Day Typical Price | 6.48 | ||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | ||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.27 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Bayfirst Financial Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Bayfirst diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. Projected growth potential of Bayfirst fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Bayfirst Financial data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Bayfirst Financial Corp using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bayfirst Financial's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bayfirst Financial's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bayfirst Financial should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bayfirst Financial's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.