Ofg Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.72
| OFG Stock | USD 45.42 0.57 1.24% |
OFG |
OFG Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 38.72
The tendency of OFG Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 38.72 or more in 90 days |
| 45.42 | 90 days | 38.72 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OFG Bancorp to drop to $ 38.72 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This OFG Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of OFG Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OFG Bancorp price to stay between $ 38.72 and its current price of $45.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.94 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OFG Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally OFG Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OFG Bancorp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OFG Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OFG Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OFG Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OFG Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OFG Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OFG Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OFG Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
OFG Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OFG Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OFG Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 OFG Bancorp paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Selling Director Jorge Colon Sells 10,000 Shares of OFG Bancorp |
OFG Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OFG Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OFG Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OFG Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 73.1 M |
OFG Bancorp Technical Analysis
OFG Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OFG Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OFG Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing OFG Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OFG Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
OFG Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many OFG Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OFG Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OFG Bancorp
Checking the ongoing alerts about OFG Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OFG Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of October 2024 OFG Bancorp paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Insider Selling Director Jorge Colon Sells 10,000 Shares of OFG Bancorp |
Check out OFG Bancorp Backtesting, OFG Bancorp Valuation, OFG Bancorp Correlation, OFG Bancorp Hype Analysis, OFG Bancorp Volatility, OFG Bancorp History as well as OFG Bancorp Performance. For more detail on how to invest in OFG Stock please use our How to Invest in OFG Bancorp guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OFG Bancorp. If investors know OFG will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OFG Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.053 | Dividend Share 0.97 | Earnings Share 4.13 | Revenue Per Share 13.63 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of OFG Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OFG that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OFG Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OFG Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OFG Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OFG Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OFG Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OFG Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OFG Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.