American Express Stock Market Outlook
| AXP Stock | USD 354.11 9.09 2.50% |
Slightly above 67% of American Express' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of the overall prospects from investing in American Express suggests that many traders are, at the present time, alarmed. American Express' investing sentiment overview a quick insight into current market opportunities from investing in American Express. Many technical investors use American Express stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets and to time the market correctly.
Comfort Level 33
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use American Express' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward American Express.
News SentimentBullish | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentDisposing |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding American Express is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated analysis based on historical performance and your stated risk tolerance. It serves as guidance on whether to purchase or sell American Express within the specified time frame.
Execute American Express Advice
The American recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on American Express. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in American Express or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute American Express' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Tiny | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
For the selected time horizon American Express has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0068, Jensen Alpha of (0.11), Total Risk Alpha of (0.16), Sortino Ratio of (0.05) and Treynor Ratio of (0)Macroaxis provides advice on American Express to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on American Express. Our investment recommendation engine determines the company's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure American Express is not overpriced, please confirm all American Express fundamentals, including its shares owned by insiders, cash and equivalents, target price, as well as the relationship between the price to sales and book value per share . Given that American Express has a price to earning of 15.49 X, we suggest you to validate American Express market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.
American Express Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| American Express generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 10th of February 2026 American Express paid $ 0.82 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Disposition of 12737 shares by Laureen Seeger of American Express at 360.99 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
American Express Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of American Express' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of American Express' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of American Express daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use American Express price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of American Express returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for American Express.
| Mean Return | 0 | Value At Risk | -2.18 | Potential Upside | 2.34 | Standard Deviation | 1.52 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of American Express historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
American Stock Institutional Investors
The American Express' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase American Express' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
| Shares | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2025-06-30 | 7.4 M | T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 7.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2025-06-30 | 6.6 M | Norges Bank | 2025-06-30 | 5.9 M | Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc | 2025-06-30 | 5.9 M | Nuveen, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 5.1 M | Capital World Investors | 2025-06-30 | 5.1 M | Artisan Partners Limited Partnership | 2025-06-30 | 4.6 M | Capital Research Global Investors | 2025-06-30 | 4.4 M | Berkshire Hathaway Inc | 2025-06-30 | 151.6 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 46.4 M |
American Express Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (10.9B) | 11.9B | 12.7B | (6.0B) | 7.2B | 7.5B | |
| Free Cash Flow | 13.1B | 19.2B | 17.0B | 12.1B | 18.4B | 19.3B | |
| Depreciation | 1.7B | 1.6B | 1.7B | 1.7B | 1.8B | 956.6M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.2B) | 2.5B | 5.6B | 4.6B | 5.8B | 3.0B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.4B | 1.6B | 1.8B | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.4B | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.6B | 1.9B | 1.6B | 1.9B | 2.4B | 2.5B | |
| Net Income | 8.1B | 7.5B | 8.4B | 10.1B | 10.8B | 11.4B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 22.0B | 33.9B | 46.6B | 40.6B | 47.8B | 50.2B | |
| Investments | (9.0B) | (31.8B) | (24.4B) | (24.4B) | (260M) | (273M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (3.4B) | 3.6B | 4.9B | 2.1B | 6.2B | 6.5B | |
| Change To Netincome | 4.3B | 4.7B | (1.6B) | 2.0B | 2.3B | 2.3B |
American Express Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Express or Consumer Finance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Express' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
American Express Volatility Alert
American Express has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.62 and kurtosis of 1.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Express' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Express' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.American Express Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing American Express' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze American Express' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between American Express and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as American Express or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of American Express' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Express by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare American Express to competition |
| Fundamentals | American Express | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.34 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0379 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.16 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 256.69 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 686.61 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 22.24 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.20 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 8.04 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 15.49 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 7.38 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 3.69 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 80.46 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 39.52 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 16.6 B | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 10.83 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 37.01 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 42.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 57.76 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.84 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.62 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.80 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 18.43 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.86 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 15.39 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.82 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 375.1 | |
| Number Of Employees | 75.1 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.13 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 246.95 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 300.05 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 25.49 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.57 B | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Douglas Buckminster of 24954 shares of American Express at 177.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
American Express Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as American . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 144628.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.58) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 361.73 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 359.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (12.16) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.09) |
American Express Target Price Consensus
American target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American Express' target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 30 | Buy |
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of American Express, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationAmerican Express Target Price Projection
American Express' current and average target prices are 354.11 and 375.10, respectively. The current price of American Express is the price at which American Express is currently trading. On the other hand, American Express' target price is what analysts think the stock is worth. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
American Express Market Quote on 11th of February 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On American Express Target Price
American Express Analyst Ratings
American Express' analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about American Express stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of American Express' financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. American Express' historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About American Express Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell American Express? Buying financial instruments such as American Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having American Express in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run High Yield ETFs Thematic Idea Now
High Yield ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The High Yield ETFs theme has 127 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize High Yield ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Express' price analysis, check to measure American Express' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Express is operating at the current time. Most of American Express' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Express' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Express' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Express to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.