Mercantile Bank Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| MBWM Stock | USD 51.98 0.66 1.29% |
Mercantile Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Mercantile Bank's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Mercantile Bank's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Mercantile Bank fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mercantile Bank's stock price is about 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mercantile, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2425 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.62 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.924 | Wall Street Target Price 56.6 |
Using Mercantile Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mercantile Bank from the perspective of Mercantile Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mercantile Bank using Mercantile Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mercantile using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mercantile Bank's stock price.
Mercantile Bank Short Interest
An investor who is long Mercantile Bank may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mercantile Bank and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mercantile Bank with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 46.3259 | Short Percent 0.0119 | Short Ratio 1.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 233.4 K | 50 Day MA 48.465 |
Mercantile Relative Strength Index
Mercantile Bank Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mercantile Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mercantile. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mercantile can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mercantile Bank. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mercantile Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mercantile Bank.
Mercantile Bank Implied Volatility | 0.86 |
Mercantile Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mercantile Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mercantile Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mercantile Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mercantile Bank's options are near their expiration.
Mercantile Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 52.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Mercantile contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Mercantile Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0538% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Mercantile Bank trading at USD 51.98, that is roughly USD 0.0279 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Mercantile Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Mercantile Bank options at the current volatility level of 0.86%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Mercantile Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Mercantile Bank's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Mercantile Bank's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Mercantile Bank stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Mercantile Bank's open interest, investors have to compare it to Mercantile Bank's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Mercantile Bank is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Mercantile. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Mercantile Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mercantile price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mercantile using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mercantile charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 3614.77 | 3623.78 |
| Check Mercantile Bank Volatility | Backtest Mercantile Bank | Information Ratio |
Mercantile Bank Trading Date Momentum
| On January 30 2026 Mercantile Bank was traded for 51.98 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 52.23 and the lowest listed price was 50.92 . The trading volume for the day was 144.5 K. The trading history from January 30, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.27% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Mercantile Bank to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Mercantile Bank
For every potential investor in Mercantile, whether a beginner or expert, Mercantile Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mercantile Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mercantile. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mercantile Bank's price trends.Mercantile Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mercantile Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mercantile Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mercantile Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mercantile Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mercantile Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mercantile Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mercantile Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mercantile Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Mercantile Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mercantile Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mercantile Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mercantile stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Variance | 2.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.47) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Mercantile Bank
The number of cover stories for Mercantile Bank depends on current market conditions and Mercantile Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mercantile Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mercantile Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mercantile Bank Short Properties
Mercantile Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mercantile Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mercantile Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mercantile Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mercantile Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 16.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Mercantile Bank to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Mercantile Stock, please use our How to Invest in Mercantile Bank guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Mercantile diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mercantile Bank. Expected growth trajectory for Mercantile significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Mercantile Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.157 | Dividend Share 1.5 | Earnings Share 5.47 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.087 |
Investors evaluate Mercantile Bank using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Mercantile Bank's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Mercantile Bank's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mercantile Bank's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mercantile Bank represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Mercantile Bank's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.