Aercap Holdings Nv Stock Price Patterns
| AER Stock | USD 152.56 2.13 1.42% |
Momentum 51
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.066 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.5785 | EPS Estimate Current Year 15.367 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.0715 | Wall Street Target Price 160.5556 |
Using AerCap Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AerCap Holdings NV from the perspective of AerCap Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AerCap Holdings using AerCap Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AerCap using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AerCap Holdings' stock price.
AerCap Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long AerCap Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AerCap Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge AerCap Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 125.2374 | Short Percent 0.0131 | Short Ratio 2.26 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 143.5944 |
AerCap Holdings NV Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AerCap Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AerCap. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AerCap can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AerCap Holdings NV. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AerCap Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AerCap Holdings.
AerCap Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
AerCap Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AerCap Holdings NV stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AerCap Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AerCap Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when AerCap Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AerCap Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AerCap because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AerCap Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 151.31 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AerCap contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AerCap Holdings NV will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With AerCap Holdings trading at USD 152.56, that is roughly USD 0.0324 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AerCap Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring AerCap Holdings NV options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out AerCap Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AerCap Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AerCap Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AerCap Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AerCap Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AerCap Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AerCap Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AerCap Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AerCap Holdings' historical news coverage. AerCap Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 150.20 and 152.42, respectively. We have considered AerCap Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AerCap Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AerCap Holdings NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
AerCap Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AerCap Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AerCap Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AerCap Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 1.11 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
152.56 | 151.31 | 0.26 |
|
AerCap Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 17th of February 2026 AerCap Holdings NV is traded for 152.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.65. AerCap is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 151.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 61.67%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on AerCap Holdings is about 37.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 151.91. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AerCap Holdings NV has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.91. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.3. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out AerCap Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AerCap Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AerCap Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AerCap Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how AerCap Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AerCap Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTAI | FTAI Aviation | (3.99) | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.23 | 6.00 | (3.52) | 22.10 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | (14.19) | 5 per month | 2.15 | 0.08 | 3.83 | (3.23) | 11.25 | |
| ESLT | Elbit Systems | (4.64) | 9 per month | 1.63 | 0.20 | 3.52 | (2.70) | 11.94 | |
| VLTO | Veralto | (2.78) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.34 | (2.59) | 12.14 | |
| DOV | Dover | 3.65 | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.22 | 3.12 | (1.68) | 5.92 | |
| HUBB | Hubbell | (18.14) | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.08 | 3.27 | (3.20) | 7.69 | |
| AL | Air Lease | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.36) | 0.23 | (0.14) | 0.50 | |
| EFX | Equifax | 5.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.42 | (3.87) | 16.21 | |
| GPN | Global Payments | (0.55) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.21 | (2.89) | 10.30 | |
| WLFC | Willis Lease Finance | 5.88 | 9 per month | 2.05 | 0.25 | 5.67 | (3.74) | 11.06 |
AerCap Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AerCap price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AerCap using various technical indicators. When you analyze AerCap charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AerCap Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AerCap Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AerCap Holdings NV, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AerCap Holdings based on analysis of AerCap Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AerCap Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AerCap Holdings's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.007774 | 0.006192 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.02 | 3.17 |
Pair Trading with AerCap Holdings
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AerCap Holdings position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AerCap Holdings will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AerCap Stock
| 0.85 | AL | Air Lease | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | DSGR | Distribution Solutions | PairCorr |
| 0.66 | RXL | Rexel SA | PairCorr |
| 0.87 | 21W | Redde Northgate PLC | PairCorr |
Moving against AerCap Stock
| 0.41 | 61F | ELEMENT FLEET MGMT Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.4 | MSI | Multistack International Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AerCap Holdings could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AerCap Holdings when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AerCap Holdings - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AerCap Holdings NV to buy it.
The correlation of AerCap Holdings is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AerCap Holdings moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AerCap Holdings NV moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AerCap Holdings can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for AerCap Stock Analysis
When running AerCap Holdings' price analysis, check to measure AerCap Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AerCap Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of AerCap Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AerCap Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AerCap Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AerCap Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.