Johnson Controls International Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 75.59 95.02 96.63 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 80.15 81.75 83.36 Details

24 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 63.89 70.21 77.93 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.57 0.59 0.60 Details

Johnson Controls After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Johnson Controls Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Johnson Controls Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.27	1.61	0.25	0.50	11 Events / Month	8 Events / Month	In about 11 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
83.99	83.99	0.00	173.12   Notes

Johnson Controls Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Johnson Controls Int is traded for 83.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.5. Johnson is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 173.12%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. %. The volatility of related hype on Johnson Controls is about 87.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 84.49. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Johnson Controls was currently reported as 24.2. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.41. Johnson Controls Int last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2024. The entity had 955:1000 split on the 6th of September 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Johnson Controls Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Johnson Controls Related Hype Analysis

Johnson Controls Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Johnson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johnson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johnson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Johnson Controls stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Johnson Controls International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Johnson Controls based on analysis of Johnson Controls hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Johnson Controls depends on current market conditions and Johnson Controls' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Johnson Controls is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Johnson Controls' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Johnson Controls' future price predictability will typically decrease when Johnson Controls' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Johnson Controls International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Johnson Controls' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Johnson Controls' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Johnson Controls' price analysis, check to measure Johnson Controls' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Johnson Controls is operating at the current time. Most of Johnson Controls' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Johnson Controls' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Johnson Controls' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Johnson Controls to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.