Douglas Dynamics Stock Price Prediction
| PLOW Stock | USD 25.91 0.61 2.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.674 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3767 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.93 | Wall Street Target Price 32.3333 |
Using Douglas Dynamics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Douglas Dynamics from the perspective of Douglas Dynamics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Douglas Dynamics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Douglas Dynamics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Douglas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Douglas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Douglas Dynamics. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Douglas Dynamics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Douglas Dynamics.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Douglas Dynamics to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Douglas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Douglas Dynamics after-hype prediction price | USD 25.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Douglas |
Douglas Dynamics After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Douglas Dynamics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Douglas Dynamics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Douglas Dynamics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Douglas Dynamics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Douglas Dynamics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Douglas Dynamics' historical news coverage. Douglas Dynamics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.09 and 27.59, respectively. We have considered Douglas Dynamics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Douglas Dynamics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Douglas Dynamics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Douglas Dynamics Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Douglas Dynamics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Douglas Dynamics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Douglas Dynamics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.25 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.91 | 25.34 | 0.16 |
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Douglas Dynamics Hype Timeline
Douglas Dynamics is at this time traded for 25.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Douglas is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.34 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Douglas Dynamics is about 214.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.79. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 568.18 M. Net Income was 23.72 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 151.5 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Douglas Dynamics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Douglas Dynamics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Douglas Dynamics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. Getting to know how Douglas Dynamics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Douglas Dynamics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MNRO | Monro Muffler Brake | 2.42 | 8 per month | 1.66 | (0.04) | 3.64 | (2.57) | 10.48 | |
| MPAA | Motorcar Parts of | 0.10 | 9 per month | 3.47 | 0 | 8.38 | (6.22) | 19.99 | |
| SMP | Standard Motor Products | 1.47 | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 3.71 | (3.41) | 24.56 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | (0.10) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.25 | (6.29) | 30.14 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | (4.39) | 11 per month | 0.91 | 0.13 | 3.10 | (2.03) | 14.67 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.18 | (3.23) | 9.85 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | (8.03) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.83 | (3.17) | 9.76 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.94) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.80 | (4.37) | 15.31 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.21 | (2.48) | 7.01 |
Douglas Dynamics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Douglas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Douglas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Douglas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Douglas Dynamics Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Douglas Dynamics stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Douglas Dynamics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Douglas Dynamics based on analysis of Douglas Dynamics hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Douglas Dynamics's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Douglas Dynamics's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0296 | 0.0326 | 0.0403 | 0.0421 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.66 | 1.35 | 1.2 | 1.26 |
Story Coverage note for Douglas Dynamics
The number of cover stories for Douglas Dynamics depends on current market conditions and Douglas Dynamics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Douglas Dynamics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Douglas Dynamics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Douglas Dynamics Short Properties
Douglas Dynamics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Douglas Dynamics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Douglas Dynamics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Douglas Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Douglas Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.2 M |
Additional Tools for Douglas Stock Analysis
When running Douglas Dynamics' price analysis, check to measure Douglas Dynamics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Douglas Dynamics is operating at the current time. Most of Douglas Dynamics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Douglas Dynamics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Douglas Dynamics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Douglas Dynamics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.