Waterstone Financial Stock Price Prediction

WSBF Stock  USD 15.61  0.39  2.56%   
As of 25th of November 2024, The relative strength indicator of Waterstone Financial's share price is at 59. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Waterstone Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

59

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Waterstone Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Waterstone Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Waterstone Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Waterstone Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Waterstone Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.61
Wall Street Target Price
12.5
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
Using Waterstone Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Waterstone Financial from the perspective of Waterstone Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Waterstone Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Waterstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Waterstone Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Waterstone Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Waterstone Stock please use our How to Invest in Waterstone Financial guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0815.1417.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.7214.7916.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Waterstone Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Waterstone Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Waterstone Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Waterstone Financial.

Waterstone Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Waterstone Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Waterstone Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Waterstone Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Waterstone Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Waterstone Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Waterstone Financial's historical news coverage. Waterstone Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.14 and 17.28, respectively. We have considered Waterstone Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.61
15.21
After-hype Price
17.28
Upside
Waterstone Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Waterstone Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Waterstone Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Waterstone Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Waterstone Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Waterstone Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
2.10
  0.02 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.61
15.21
0.07 
1,312  
Notes

Waterstone Financial Hype Timeline

Waterstone Financial is at this time traded for 15.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Waterstone is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 15.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Waterstone Financial is about 105000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.61. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.86. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Waterstone Financial last dividend was issued on the 8th of October 2024. The entity had 10972:1000 split on the 23rd of January 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Waterstone Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Waterstone Stock please use our How to Invest in Waterstone Financial guide.

Waterstone Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Waterstone Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Waterstone Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Waterstone Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Waterstone Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NBHCNational Bank Holdings(0.92)9 per month 1.62  0.05  3.29 (2.64) 17.64 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)10 per month 1.07  0.05  2.64 (2.16) 9.14 
FISIFinancial Institutions 0.41 10 per month 1.80  0.04  4.07 (3.22) 18.30 
KRNYKearny Financial Corp(0.22)7 per month 1.59  0.11  4.56 (3.47) 22.42 
HFWAHeritage Financial(0.44)8 per month 1.59  0.08  3.50 (2.26) 19.67 
HBCPHome Bancorp 1.24 7 per month 1.75  0.09  3.76 (3.12) 12.98 
CBFVCB Financial Services 0.31 10 per month 1.40  0.11  3.23 (2.61) 10.09 
CIVBCivista Bancshares(0.01)9 per month 0.87  0.20  3.67 (1.94) 10.55 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest(0.12)6 per month 0.76 (0.11) 1.65 (1.13) 4.32 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.15)10 per month 1.70  0.01  4.11 (2.82) 14.21 

Waterstone Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Waterstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Waterstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Waterstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Waterstone Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Waterstone Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Waterstone Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Waterstone Financial based on analysis of Waterstone Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Waterstone Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Waterstone Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05860.08020.05370.0375
Price To Sales Ratio2.042.392.192.08

Story Coverage note for Waterstone Financial

The number of cover stories for Waterstone Financial depends on current market conditions and Waterstone Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Waterstone Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Waterstone Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Waterstone Financial Short Properties

Waterstone Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Waterstone Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Waterstone Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Waterstone Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Waterstone Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.4 M

Complementary Tools for Waterstone Stock analysis

When running Waterstone Financial's price analysis, check to measure Waterstone Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Waterstone Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Waterstone Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Waterstone Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Waterstone Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Waterstone Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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