First Common Stock vs Net Debt Analysis

FWRG Stock

USD 18.24 0.49 2.76%

First Watch financial indicator trend analysis is much more than just examining First Watch Restaurant latest accounting drivers to predict future trends. We encourage investors to analyze account correlations over time for multiple indicators to determine whether First Watch Restaurant is a good investment. Please check the relationship between First Watch Common Stock and its Net Debt accounts. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

Common Stock vs Net Debt

Common Stock vs Net Debt Correlation Analysis

The overlapping area represents the amount of trend that can be explained by analyzing historical patterns of First Watch Restaurant Common Stock account and Net Debt. At this time, the significance of the direction appears to have almost identical trend.

The correlation between First Watch's Common Stock and Net Debt is 0.96. Overlapping area represents the amount of variation of Common Stock that can explain the historical movement of Net Debt in the same time period over historical financial statements of First Watch Restaurant, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical values of First Watch's Common Stock and Net Debt is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these accounts tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which Common Stock of First Watch Restaurant are associated (or correlated) with its Net Debt. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when Net Debt has no effect on the direction of Common Stock i.e., First Watch's Common Stock and Net Debt go up and down completely randomly.

Correlation Coefficient

0.96

Relationship Direction	Positive
Relationship Strength	Very Strong

View All Relationships

Common Stock

Net Debt

The total debt of a company minus its cash and cash equivalents. It represents the actual debt burden on the company after accounting for the liquid assets it holds.

Most indicators from First Watch's fundamental ratios are interrelated and interconnected. However, analyzing fundamental ratios indicators one by one will only give a small insight into First Watch Restaurant current financial condition. On the other hand, looking into the entire matrix of fundamental ratios indicators, and analyzing their relationships over time can provide a more complete picture of the company financial strength now and in the future. Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

At this time, First Watch's Tax Provision is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The First Watch's current Sales General And Administrative To Revenue is estimated to increase to 0.13, while Selling General Administrative is projected to decrease to roughly 73 M.

	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Gross Profit	127.5M	139.5M	190.1M	118.4M
Total Revenue	601.2M	730.2M	891.6M	614.4M

Gross Profit Total Revenue

First Watch fundamental ratios Correlations

	Total Assets	Other Current Liab	Total Current Liabilities	Total Stockholder Equity	Other Liab	Net Tangible Assets	Property Plant And Equipment Net	Net Debt	Retained Earnings	Accounts Payable	Cash	Non Current Assets Total	Non Currrent Assets Other	Other Assets	Cash And Short Term Investments	Net Receivables	Good Will	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	Non Current Liabilities Total	Inventory	Other Current Assets	Other Stockholder Equity	Total Liab	Total Current Assets	Intangible Assets	Common Stock
Total Assets		-0.14	0.99	0.71	-0.96	0.78	1.0	0.95	-0.91	0.45	0.86	1.0	0.96	0.84	0.86	0.95	0.85	0.98	0.94	0.93	-0.4	0.88	0.96	0.88	-0.9	0.98
Other Current Liab	-0.14		-0.18	0.11	0.4	-0.02	-0.17	-0.3	0.54	-0.36	-0.34	-0.13	-0.34	0.22	-0.34	-0.19	-0.02	-0.29	-0.25	-0.05	0.51	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	0.38	-0.31
Total Current Liabilities	0.99	-0.18		0.77	-0.96	0.82	0.99	0.92	-0.92	0.55	0.91	0.99	0.95	0.83	0.91	0.94	0.82	0.96	0.91	0.96	-0.35	0.92	0.92	0.92	-0.88	0.98
Total Stockholder Equity	0.71	0.11	0.77		-0.6	0.97	0.68	0.46	-0.57	0.72	0.83	0.69	0.54	0.81	0.83	0.62	0.61	0.59	0.44	0.9	0.27	0.94	0.48	0.88	-0.52	0.67
Other Liab	-0.96	0.4	-0.96	-0.6		-0.69	-0.97	-0.96	0.99	-0.49	-0.89	-0.96	-0.98	-0.72	-0.89	-0.91	-0.78	-0.97	-0.95	-0.86	0.51	-0.83	-0.95	-0.87	0.92	-0.98
Net Tangible Assets	0.78	-0.02	0.82	0.97	-0.69		0.74	0.55	-0.66	0.75	0.86	0.76	0.64	0.82	0.86	0.7	0.75	0.7	0.53	0.91	0.12	0.96	0.57	0.9	-0.67	0.75
Property Plant And Equipment Net	1.0	-0.17	0.99	0.68	-0.97	0.74		0.96	-0.92	0.43	0.85	1.0	0.97	0.8	0.85	0.96	0.82	0.98	0.96	0.92	-0.45	0.85	0.97	0.86	-0.9	0.98
Net Debt	0.95	-0.3	0.92	0.46	-0.96	0.55	0.96		-0.92	0.3	0.74	0.95	0.99	0.66	0.74	0.94	0.78	0.98	1.0	0.78	-0.66	0.7	1.0	0.73	-0.92	0.96
Retained Earnings	-0.91	0.54	-0.92	-0.57	0.99	-0.66	-0.92	-0.92		-0.53	-0.89	-0.9	-0.95	-0.64	-0.89	-0.87	-0.71	-0.94	-0.9	-0.82	0.52	-0.81	-0.9	-0.86	0.9	-0.96
Accounts Payable	0.45	-0.36	0.55	0.72	-0.49	0.75	0.43	0.3	-0.53		0.66	0.43	0.44	0.38	0.66	0.41	0.36	0.44	0.25	0.57	0.08	0.73	0.27	0.67	-0.45	0.54
Cash	0.86	-0.34	0.91	0.83	-0.89	0.86	0.85	0.74	-0.89	0.66		0.84	0.8	0.8	1.0	0.74	0.68	0.81	0.72	0.92	-0.09	0.95	0.74	0.99	-0.75	0.87
Non Current Assets Total	1.0	-0.13	0.99	0.69	-0.96	0.76	1.0	0.95	-0.9	0.43	0.84		0.97	0.83	0.84	0.95	0.86	0.98	0.95	0.92	-0.43	0.86	0.97	0.86	-0.91	0.98
Non Currrent Assets Other	0.96	-0.34	0.95	0.54	-0.98	0.64	0.97	0.99	-0.95	0.44	0.8	0.97		0.68	0.8	0.95	0.81	0.99	0.98	0.83	-0.62	0.77	0.98	0.79	-0.95	0.98
Other Assets	0.84	0.22	0.83	0.81	-0.72	0.82	0.8	0.66	-0.64	0.38	0.8	0.83	0.68		0.8	0.66	0.83	0.73	0.68	0.87	0.1	0.84	0.72	0.84	-0.65	0.73
Cash And Short Term Investments	0.86	-0.34	0.91	0.83	-0.89	0.86	0.85	0.74	-0.89	0.66	1.0	0.84	0.8	0.8		0.74	0.68	0.81	0.72	0.92	-0.09	0.95	0.74	0.99	-0.75	0.87
Net Receivables	0.95	-0.19	0.94	0.62	-0.91	0.7	0.96	0.94	-0.87	0.41	0.74	0.95	0.95	0.66	0.74		0.78	0.96	0.93	0.87	-0.57	0.79	0.93	0.75	-0.9	0.96
Good Will	0.85	-0.02	0.82	0.61	-0.78	0.75	0.82	0.78	-0.71	0.36	0.68	0.86	0.81	0.83	0.68	0.78		0.87	0.8	0.76	-0.3	0.73	0.82	0.7	-0.9	0.79
Common Stock Shares Outstanding	0.98	-0.29	0.96	0.59	-0.97	0.7	0.98	0.98	-0.94	0.44	0.81	0.98	0.99	0.73	0.81	0.96	0.87		0.97	0.86	-0.56	0.8	0.98	0.81	-0.97	0.98
Non Current Liabilities Total	0.94	-0.25	0.91	0.44	-0.95	0.53	0.96	1.0	-0.9	0.25	0.72	0.95	0.98	0.68	0.72	0.93	0.8	0.97		0.77	-0.65	0.68	1.0	0.71	-0.91	0.94
Inventory	0.93	-0.05	0.96	0.9	-0.86	0.91	0.92	0.78	-0.82	0.57	0.92	0.92	0.83	0.87	0.92	0.87	0.76	0.86	0.77		-0.12	0.97	0.8	0.95	-0.76	0.9
Other Current Assets	-0.4	0.51	-0.35	0.27	0.51	0.12	-0.45	-0.66	0.52	0.08	-0.09	-0.43	-0.62	0.1	-0.09	-0.57	-0.3	-0.56	-0.65	-0.12		-0.02	-0.61	-0.04	0.59	-0.5
Other Stockholder Equity	0.88	-0.14	0.92	0.94	-0.83	0.96	0.85	0.7	-0.81	0.73	0.95	0.86	0.77	0.84	0.95	0.79	0.73	0.8	0.68	0.97	-0.02		0.71	0.98	-0.73	0.86
Total Liab	0.96	-0.22	0.92	0.48	-0.95	0.57	0.97	1.0	-0.9	0.27	0.74	0.97	0.98	0.72	0.74	0.93	0.82	0.98	1.0	0.8	-0.61	0.71		0.73	-0.92	0.95
Total Current Assets	0.88	-0.24	0.92	0.88	-0.87	0.9	0.86	0.73	-0.86	0.67	0.99	0.86	0.79	0.84	0.99	0.75	0.7	0.81	0.71	0.95	-0.04	0.98	0.73		-0.74	0.87
Intangible Assets	-0.9	0.38	-0.88	-0.52	0.92	-0.67	-0.9	-0.92	0.9	-0.45	-0.75	-0.91	-0.95	-0.65	-0.75	-0.9	-0.9	-0.97	-0.91	-0.76	0.59	-0.73	-0.92	-0.74		-0.92
Common Stock	0.98	-0.31	0.98	0.67	-0.98	0.75	0.98	0.96	-0.96	0.54	0.87	0.98	0.98	0.73	0.87	0.96	0.79	0.98	0.94	0.9	-0.5	0.86	0.95	0.87	-0.92

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First Watch Account Relationship Matchups

First Watch fundamental ratios Accounts

	2019	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024 (projected)
Total Assets	982.1M	1.0B	1.0B	1.1B	1.3B	1.1B
Other Current Liab	30.4M	10.9M	11.9M	18.0M	50.3M	28.0M
Total Current Liabilities	73.0M	76.5M	96.5M	100.0M	115.1M	91.3M
Total Stockholder Equity	329.8M	320.9M	504.4M	523.1M	561.3M	479.2M
Other Liab	33.2M	15.9M	15.7M	20.6M	18.5M	23.2M
Net Tangible Assets	(160.0M)	(168.0M)	16.2M	34.8M	40.0M	42.0M
Property Plant And Equipment Net	466.8M	468.3M	489.7M	547.5M	683.1M	509.7M
Net Debt	565.3M	599.1M	422.1M	457.7M	557.3M	474.0M
Retained Earnings	(53.3M)	(102.9M)	(105.0M)	(98.1M)	(72.7M)	(76.4M)
Accounts Payable	5.1M	4.2M	11.1M	7.6M	6.3M	7.3M
Cash	11.1M	38.8M	51.9M	49.7M	49.6M	39.9M
Non Current Assets Total	957.8M	958.5M	979.2M	1.0B	1.2B	1.1B
Non Currrent Assets Other	1.2M	1.3M	1.3M	(15.9M)	1.7M	1.8M
Other Assets	1.2M	1.3M	1.3M	1.3M	1.5M	1.4M
Cash And Short Term Investments	11.1M	38.8M	51.9M	49.7M	49.6M	39.9M
Net Receivables	5.7M	3.9M	4.5M	6.2M	5.5M	5.1M
Non Current Liabilities Total	579.3M	610.1M	446.0M	481.3M	590.7M	530.9M
Inventory	2.7M	2.9M	4.0M	5.0M	5.4M	4.1M
Other Current Assets	253K	3.4M	7.4M	6.4M	10.6M	6.8M
Other Stockholder Equity	382.6M	423.3M	608.9M	620.7M	634.1M	559.5M
Total Liab	652.3M	686.6M	542.5M	581.3M	705.8M	634.0M
Total Current Assets	24.2M	49.0M	67.7M	67.3M	71.2M	56.6M
Intangible Assets	144.6M	143.7M	143M	143.2M	151.2M	120.5M
Property Plant Equipment	466.8M	468.3M	489.7M	547.5M	629.6M	461.4M

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When determining whether First Watch Restaurant is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Watch's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Watch's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:

How To Invest In First

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Is First Stock a good investment?

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What is First Watch's Net Worth?

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Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in First Watch Restaurant. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.

You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.

Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Watch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.67)

Earnings Share

0.33

Revenue Per Share

16.574

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.148

Return On Assets

0.0212

The market value of First Watch Restaurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Watch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Watch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Watch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Watch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Watch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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First Common Stock vs Net Debt Analysis

Common Stock vs Net Debt

Common Stock vs Net Debt Correlation Analysis

Correlation Coefficient

Common Stock

Net Debt

First Watch fundamental ratios Correlations

First Watch Account Relationship Matchups

High Positive Relationship

High Negative Relationship

First Watch fundamental ratios Accounts

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COMMON DESTINATIONS

MAIN CATEGORIES

COMPANY

Property Plant And Equipment Net	+ 1.0	Total Assets
Non Current Assets Total	+ 1.0	Total Assets
Non Current Assets Total	+ 1.0	Property Plant And Equipment Net
Non Current Liabilities Total	+ 1.0	Net Debt
Total Liab	+ 1.0	Net Debt
Cash And Short Term Investments	+ 1.0	Cash

Common Stock	- 0.98	Other Liab
Non Currrent Assets Other	- 0.98	Other Liab
Intangible Assets	- 0.97	Common Stock Shares Outstanding
Common Stock Shares Outstanding	- 0.97	Other Liab
Property Plant And Equipment Net	- 0.97	Other Liab
Common Stock	- 0.96	Retained Earnings