First Watch Profitability Analysis
| FWRG Stock | USD 15.57 0.14 0.91% |
Net Income | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 2.1 M | Current Value 3 M | Quarterly Volatility 7 M |
| Current Value | Last Year | Change From Last Year | 10 Year Trend | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Profit Margin | 0.22 | 0.19 |
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For First Watch profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of First Watch to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well First Watch Restaurant utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between First Watch's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of First Watch Restaurant over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
First Watch's Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment
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First Watch Revenue Breakdown by Earning Segment
By analyzing First Watch's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across First Watch's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Watch. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Watch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.634 | Earnings Share 0.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.256 | Return On Assets |
The market value of First Watch Restaurant is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Watch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Watch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Watch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Watch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Watch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Watch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Watch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
First Watch Restaurant Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis
Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining First Watch's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare First Watch value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. First Watch Restaurant is rated # 5 in return on equity category among its peers. It is rated below average in return on asset category among its peers reporting about 1.39 of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. At this time, First Watch's Return On Equity is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value First Watch by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.First Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity
Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.
First Watch |
| = | 0.0083 |
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.
First Watch |
| = | 0.0115 |
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.
First Return On Asset Comparison
First Watch is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.
First Watch Profitability Projections
The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in First Watch, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, First Watch will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of First Watch's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of First Watch, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income | -396.9 K | -377.1 K | |
| Operating Income | 44.7 M | 47 M | |
| Income Before Tax | 32.2 M | 33.8 M | |
| Total Other Income Expense Net | -12.5 M | -13.1 M | |
| Net Income Applicable To Common Shares | 7.9 M | 8.3 M | |
| Net Income | 21.8 M | 22.9 M | |
| Income Tax Expense | 10.5 M | 11 M | |
| Net Interest Income | -14.5 M | -15.3 M | |
| Net Income From Continuing Ops | 21.8 M | 22.9 M | |
| Change To Netincome | 36.6 M | 18.8 M | |
| Net Income Per Share | 0.38 | 0.40 | |
| Income Quality | 3.38 | 3.55 | |
| Net Income Per E B T | 0.81 | 0.85 |
First Profitability Driver Comparison
Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on First Watch. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of First Watch position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the First Watch's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.
First Watch Profitability Trends
First Watch profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that First Watch's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is First Watch's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.
First Watch Profitability Drivers Correlations
One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between First Watch different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards First Watch in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down First Watch's future profitability.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
First Watch Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of First Watch's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of First Watch is estimated to be 0.0236 with the future projection ranging from a low of -0.01 to a high of 0.0789. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for First Watch Restaurant is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
-0.01 Lowest | Expected EPS | 0.08 Highest |
First Watch Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of First Watch's value are higher than the current market price of the First Watch stock. In this case, investors may conclude that First Watch is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and First Watch's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
| Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2026 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
| 11 | 57.71% | 0.0 | 0.0236 | 0.08 |
First Watch Earnings History
Earnings estimate consensus by First Watch Restaurant analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge First Watch's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only First Watch's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.First Watch Quarterly Gross Profit |
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First Watch Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
Actual Earning per Share of First Watch refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering First Watch Restaurant predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of First Watch, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.First Watch Estimated Months Earnings per Share
For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as First Watch, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of First Watch should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.First Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics
Earnings surprises can significantly impact First Watch's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
| Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
null | null | null | null | null | 0 | ||
2025-11-04 | 2025-09-30 | 0.07 | 0.05 | -0.02 | 28 | ||
2025-08-05 | 2025-06-30 | 0.06 | 0.03 | -0.03 | 50 | ||
2025-05-22 | 2025-03-31 | 0.0339 | -0.0136 | -0.0475 | 140 | ||
2025-03-11 | 2024-12-31 | 0.0033 | 0.01 | 0.0067 | 203 | ||
2024-11-07 | 2024-09-30 | 0.04 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 25 | ||
2024-08-06 | 2024-06-30 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.02 | 16 | ||
2024-05-07 | 2024-03-31 | 0.1 | 0.12 | 0.02 | 20 | ||
2024-03-05 | 2023-12-31 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2023-11-01 | 2023-09-30 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 125 | ||
2023-08-01 | 2023-06-30 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 62 | ||
2023-05-02 | 2023-03-31 | 0.09 | 0.15 | 0.06 | 66 | ||
2023-03-07 | 2022-12-31 | 0.02 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 150 | ||
2022-11-07 | 2022-09-30 | 0.03 | 8.0E-4 | -0.0292 | 97 | ||
2022-08-09 | 2022-06-30 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 25 | ||
2022-05-10 | 2022-03-31 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 60 | ||
2022-03-23 | 2021-12-31 | -0.07 | -0.04 | 0.03 | 42 | ||
2021-11-08 | 2021-09-30 | -0.01 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 300 | ||
2021-09-01 | 2021-06-30 | 0.07 | 0.0802 | 0.0102 | 14 | ||
2021-06-27 | 2021-03-31 | 0 | 0.215 | 0.215 | 0 | ||
2021-03-27 | 2020-12-31 | 0 | 0.215 | 0.215 | 0 | ||
2020-12-27 | 2020-09-30 | 0 | -2.4027 | -2.4027 | 0 | ||
2020-09-27 | 2020-06-30 | 0 | -2.4027 | -2.4027 | 0 | ||
2020-06-28 | 2020-03-31 | 0 | -4.1318 | -4.1318 | 0 | ||
2020-03-28 | 2019-12-31 | 0 | -4.1318 | -4.1318 | 0 |
Use First Watch in pair-trading
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Watch position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Watch will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.First Watch Pair Trading
First Watch Restaurant Pair Trading Analysis
The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Watch could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Watch when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Watch - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Watch Restaurant to buy it.
The correlation of First Watch is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Watch moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Watch Restaurant moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Watch can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Use Investing Themes to Complement your First Watch position
In addition to having First Watch in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Domestic and international airlines and airline services. The Airlines theme has 12 constituents at this time.
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Check out Investing Opportunities. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
To fully project First Watch's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of First Watch Restaurant at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include First Watch's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.