Goosehead Insurance Stock Performance

GSHD Stock  USD 68.28  0.34  0.50%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.86, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Goosehead Insurance returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Goosehead Insurance is expected to follow. At this point, Goosehead Insurance has a negative expected return of -0.0083%. Please make sure to check out Goosehead Insurance's semi variance, rate of daily change, and the relationship between the value at risk and kurtosis , to decide if Goosehead Insurance performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Goosehead Insurance has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of rather sound technical indicators, Goosehead Insurance is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price tumult, may contribute to shorter-term losses for the shareholders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.50)
Five Day Return
(0.57)
Year To Date Return
(2.68)
Ten Year Return
333.52
All Time Return
333.52
Dividend Date
2025-01-31
Ex Dividend Date
2025-01-21
1
Acquisition by Jones Serena of 9787 shares of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
11/21/2025
2
Acquisition by Oconnor John Terry of 2100 shares of Goosehead Insurance at 71.81 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/26/2025
3
Goosehead Insurance Insiders Added US795.6k Of Stock To Their Holdings
12/03/2025
4
Goosehead Insurance Is Up 5.8 percent After CEO Miller Increases Stake To 35,000 Shares
12/04/2025
5
Owls Nest Partners IA LLC Acquires 8,367 Shares of Goosehead Insurance GSHD
12/11/2025
6
Goosehead Insurance Trading Down 6.8 percent - Heres What Happened - MarketBeat
12/16/2025
7
Acquisition by Mark Miller of 5000 shares of Goosehead Insurance at 72.34 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/19/2025
8
Acquisition by Oconnor John Terry of 15000 shares of Goosehead Insurance at 77.18 subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
9
Is Jefferies New View on Goosehead Reframing the Value of Its Capital-Light Franchise Model
01/06/2026
10
Acquisition by Mark Robyn Jones Descendants Trust 2014 of 21391 shares of Goosehead Insurance subject to Rule 16b-3
01/16/2026
11
Investors three-year returns in Goosehead Insurance have not grown faster than the companys underlying earnings growth
01/26/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow44 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-12.4 M

Goosehead Insurance Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,953  in Goosehead Insurance on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (125.00) from holding Goosehead Insurance or give up 1.8% of portfolio value over 90 days. Goosehead Insurance is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.1066% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Goosehead, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Goosehead Insurance is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.82 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.0 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Goosehead Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Goosehead Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 68.28 90 days 68.28 
about 88.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Goosehead Insurance to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.83 (This Goosehead Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Goosehead Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Goosehead Insurance has a beta of 0.86. This usually indicates Goosehead Insurance market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Goosehead Insurance is expected to follow. Additionally Goosehead Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Goosehead Insurance Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Goosehead Insurance

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Goosehead Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66.0568.2870.51
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.9349.1675.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.0366.2568.48
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
81.7389.8299.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Goosehead Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Goosehead Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Goosehead Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Goosehead Insurance.

Goosehead Insurance Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Goosehead Insurance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Goosehead Insurance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Goosehead Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Goosehead Insurance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.86
σ
Overall volatility
2.99
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Goosehead Insurance Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Goosehead Insurance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Goosehead Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investors three-year returns in Goosehead Insurance have not grown faster than the companys underlying earnings growth

Goosehead Insurance Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Goosehead Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Goosehead Insurance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Goosehead Insurance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments54.3 M

Goosehead Insurance Fundamentals Growth

Goosehead Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Goosehead Insurance, and Goosehead Insurance fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Goosehead Stock performance.

About Goosehead Insurance Performance

By analyzing Goosehead Insurance's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Goosehead Insurance's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Goosehead Insurance has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Goosehead Insurance has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.13 
Return On Capital Employed 0.18  0.26 
Return On Assets 0.09  0.13 
Return On Equity 0.62  0.66 

Things to note about Goosehead Insurance performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Goosehead Insurance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Goosehead Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Goosehead Insurance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 96.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Investors three-year returns in Goosehead Insurance have not grown faster than the companys underlying earnings growth
Evaluating Goosehead Insurance's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Goosehead Insurance's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Goosehead Insurance's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Goosehead Insurance's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Goosehead Insurance's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Goosehead Insurance's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Goosehead Insurance's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Goosehead Insurance's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Goosehead Insurance's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Goosehead Insurance's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Goosehead Insurance's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

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When running Goosehead Insurance's price analysis, check to measure Goosehead Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Goosehead Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of Goosehead Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Goosehead Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Goosehead Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Goosehead Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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