American Integrity Insurance Stock Price Patterns

AII Stock   18.29  0.08  0.44%   
The relative strength indicator of American Integrity's share price is below 30 as of 8th of February 2026. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Integrity Insurance, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 29

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American Integrity's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Integrity Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Integrity's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.486
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.838
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.745
Wall Street Target Price
25
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.606
Using American Integrity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Integrity Insurance from the perspective of American Integrity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

American Integrity Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to American Integrity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Integrity Insurance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Integrity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Integrity.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Integrity to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American Integrity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out American Integrity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.7920.2822.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.620.690.74
Details

American Integrity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American Integrity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Integrity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Integrity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American Integrity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American Integrity's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Integrity's historical news coverage. American Integrity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.86 and 20.84, respectively. We have considered American Integrity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.29
18.35
After-hype Price
20.84
Upside
American Integrity is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Integrity is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Integrity Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Integrity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Integrity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Integrity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
2.49
  0.06 
  0.04 
6 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.29
18.35
0.33 
2,264  
Notes

American Integrity Hype Timeline

On the 8th of February American Integrity is traded for 18.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. American is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 18.35 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.33%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.5%. The volatility of related hype on American Integrity is about 3074.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.25. The company reported the last year's revenue of 204.35 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 39.74 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 131.16 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out American Integrity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Integrity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American Integrity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Integrity's future price movements. Getting to know how American Integrity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Integrity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DGICADonegal Group A(0.18)9 per month 1.55 (0.02) 1.80 (2.54) 5.10 
GBLIGlobal Indemnity Group(0.49)8 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.91 (2.16) 5.97 
ACICAmerican Coastal Insurance(0.22)8 per month 1.45 (0.02) 2.82 (2.36) 8.47 
UNTYUnity Bancorp(0.18)10 per month 1.15  0.15  3.33 (2.87) 7.55 
CBNKCapital Bancorp 0.23 9 per month 0.99  0.13  2.91 (1.59) 8.39 
GLADGladstone Capital(0.09)10 per month 1.57 (0.04) 2.10 (1.72) 11.51 
BWBBridgewater Bancshares(0.14)11 per month 1.13  0.12  3.22 (1.96) 9.97 
NRIMNorthrim BanCorp 0.11 8 per month 3.19  0.07  4.46 (3.09) 21.03 
MSBIMidland States Bancorp 0.11 9 per month 1.08  0.26  5.98 (1.71) 11.67 
ECCEagle Point Credit 0.04 8 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.49 (3.66) 11.59 

American Integrity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American Integrity Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Integrity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Integrity Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Integrity based on analysis of American Integrity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Integrity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Integrity's related companies.
 2010 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0055510.03630.03270.0167
Price To Sales Ratio1.651.621.861.79

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