American Coastal Insurance Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 6.25 10.50 14.75 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 8.89 13.15 17.40 Details

1 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 1.73 1.90 2.11 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 0.39 0.39 0.39 Details

American Coastal After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

American Coastal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

American Coastal Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.41	4.25	0.32	0.28	9 Events / Month	3 Events / Month	In about 9 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
13.52	13.52	0.00	551.95   Notes

American Coastal Hype Timeline

American Coastal Ins is presently traded for 13.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.28. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.41%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Coastal is about 615.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.24. About 50.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of American Coastal was presently reported as 7.42. The company last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out American Coastal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Coastal Related Hype Analysis

American Coastal Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of American Coastal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Coastal Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Coastal based on analysis of American Coastal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for American Coastal depends on current market conditions and American Coastal's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Coastal is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Coastal's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American Coastal's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Coastal's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Coastal Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Coastal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Coastal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running American Coastal's price analysis, check to measure American Coastal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Coastal is operating at the current time. Most of American Coastal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Coastal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Coastal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Coastal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.