Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Stock Price Patterns
| ATI Stock | USD 143.93 4.12 2.95% |
Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.27) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8669 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1408 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.9749 | Wall Street Target Price 145.625 |
Using Allegheny Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated from the perspective of Allegheny Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Allegheny Technologies using Allegheny Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Allegheny using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Allegheny Technologies' stock price.
Allegheny Technologies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Allegheny Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Allegheny. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Allegheny Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 91.9824 | Short Percent 0.028 | Short Ratio 2.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 118.4432 |
Allegheny Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Allegheny Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Allegheny. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Allegheny can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Allegheny Technologies Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Allegheny Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Allegheny Technologies.
Allegheny Technologies Implied Volatility | 0.54 |
Allegheny Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Allegheny Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Allegheny Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Allegheny Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Allegheny Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Allegheny because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Allegheny Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 149.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Allegheny contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Allegheny Technologies Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0338% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Allegheny Technologies trading at USD 143.93, that is roughly USD 0.0486 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Allegheny Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Allegheny Technologies Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.54%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Allegheny Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Allegheny Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Allegheny Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Allegheny Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Allegheny Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Allegheny Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Allegheny Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Allegheny Technologies' historical news coverage. Allegheny Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 129.54 and 151.45, respectively. We have considered Allegheny Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Allegheny Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Allegheny Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Allegheny Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Allegheny Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Allegheny Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Allegheny Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.62 | 1.78 | 5.74 | 2.87 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
143.93 | 149.67 | 3.99 |
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Allegheny Technologies Hype Timeline
On the 15th of February 2026 Allegheny Technologies is traded for 143.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 5.74, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.87. Allegheny is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 149.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 19.24%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 3.99%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.62%. The volatility of related hype on Allegheny Technologies is about 38.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 146.80. Allegheny Technologies Incorporated has 1.75 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.84, which is OK given its current industry classification. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Allegheny Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Allegheny Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Allegheny Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Allegheny Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Allegheny Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Allegheny Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CRS | Carpenter Technology | (1.90) | 10 per month | 2.38 | 0.07 | 5.30 | (4.98) | 13.86 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | 1.45 | 10 per month | 2.74 | 0.05 | 2.26 | (1.97) | 13.77 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | 2.01 | 10 per month | 1.03 | 0.13 | 2.51 | (1.86) | 6.74 | |
| LECO | Lincoln Electric Holdings | 12.27 | 10 per month | 1.22 | 0.19 | 3.71 | (2.45) | 7.77 | |
| RBC | RBC Bearings Incorporated | 26.70 | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.20 | 3.01 | (1.75) | 6.18 | |
| NDSN | Nordson | 6.49 | 10 per month | 0.47 | 0.27 | 2.48 | (1.31) | 4.63 | |
| WSO | Watsco Inc | (4.39) | 8 per month | 1.27 | 0.12 | 4.09 | (2.21) | 7.92 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | 2.01 | 2 per month | 0.94 | 0.10 | 2.57 | (1.68) | 6.45 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | 2.01 | 19 per month | 0.75 | 0.19 | 2.68 | (1.54) | 8.28 | |
| ITT | ITT Inc | (0.32) | 8 per month | 1.60 | 0.02 | 2.39 | (2.11) | 12.02 |
Allegheny Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allegheny price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allegheny using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allegheny charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Allegheny Technologies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Allegheny Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Allegheny Technologies based on analysis of Allegheny Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Allegheny Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Allegheny Technologies's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.54E-4 | 9.07E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.12 | 3.28 |
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Complementary Tools for Allegheny Stock analysis
When running Allegheny Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Allegheny Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Allegheny Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Allegheny Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Allegheny Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Allegheny Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Allegheny Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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