First Commonwealth Profitability Analysis

FCF Stock  USD 17.55  0.45  2.63%   
Considering the key profitability indicators obtained from First Commonwealth's historical financial statements, First Commonwealth Financial may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high probability of underperforming in February. Profitability indicators assess First Commonwealth's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
1992-03-31
Previous Quarter
33.4 M
Current Value
41.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
11 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
At this time, First Commonwealth's EV To Sales is most likely to slightly decrease in the upcoming years. The First Commonwealth's current Operating Cash Flow Sales Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.18, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 2.05. At this time, First Commonwealth's Net Income is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The First Commonwealth's current Income Tax Expense is estimated to increase to about 43 M, while Total Other Income Expense Net is projected to decrease to (69 M). The First Commonwealth's current Gross Profit is estimated to increase to about 542.1 M, while Pretax Profit Margin is projected to decrease to 0.17.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.540.58
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Net Profit Margin0.130.18
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Profit Margin0.170.23
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Pretax Profit Margin0.170.23
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Assets0.01030.0142
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Return On Equity0.10.12
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
For First Commonwealth profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of First Commonwealth to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well First Commonwealth Financial utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between First Commonwealth's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of First Commonwealth Financial over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.
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The next projected EPS of First Commonwealth is estimated to be 0.42 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.375 to a high of 0.3825. First Commonwealth's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at 1.39. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for First Commonwealth Financial is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
First Commonwealth is projected to generate 0.42 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. First Commonwealth earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected First Commonwealth Financial EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on First Commonwealth's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as First Commonwealth, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm. By analyzing First Commonwealth's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across First Commonwealth's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current estimates against different timeframes.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of First Commonwealth. If investors know First will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about First Commonwealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.258
Dividend Share
0.535
Earnings Share
1.39
Revenue Per Share
4.56
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.128
The market value of First Commonwealth is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of First that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of First Commonwealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is First Commonwealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because First Commonwealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect First Commonwealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between First Commonwealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if First Commonwealth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, First Commonwealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

First Commonwealth Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity Fundamental Analysis

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining First Commonwealth's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare First Commonwealth value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth.
First Commonwealth Financial is rated below average in return on equity category among its peers. It also is rated below average in return on asset category among its peers reporting about  0.12  of Return On Asset per Return On Equity. The ratio of Return On Equity to Return On Asset for First Commonwealth Financial is roughly  8.23 . At this time, First Commonwealth's Return On Equity is most likely to increase slightly in the upcoming years. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all technique that is used if you cannot value First Commonwealth by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. It compares the stock's price multiples to nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued.

First Return On Asset vs. Return On Equity

Return on Equity or ROE tells company stockholders how effectually their money is being utilized or reinvested. It is a useful ratio when analyzing company profitability or the management effectiveness given the capital invested by the shareholders. ROE shows how efficiently a company utilizes investments to generate income.

First Commonwealth

Return On Equity

 = 

Net Income

Total Equity

 = 
0.0971
For most industries, Return on Equity between 10% and 30% are considered desirable to provide dividends to owners and have funds for the future growth of the company. Investors should be very careful using ROE as the only efficiency indicator because ROE can be high if a company is heavily leveraged.
Return on Asset or ROA shows how effective is the management of the company in generating income from utilizing all of the assets at their disposal. It is a useful ratio to evaluate the performance of different departments of a company as well as to understand management performance over time.

First Commonwealth

Return On Asset

 = 

Net Income

Total Assets

 = 
0.0118
Return on Asset measures overall efficiency of a company in generating profits from its total assets. It is expressed as the percentage of profits earned per dollar of Asset. A low ROA typically means that a company is asset-intensive and therefore will needs more money to continue generating revenue in the future.

First Return On Asset Comparison

First Commonwealth is currently under evaluation in return on asset category among its peers.

First Commonwealth Profitability Projections

The most important aspect of a successful company is its ability to generate a profit. For investors in First Commonwealth, profitability is also one of the essential criteria for including it into their portfolios because, without profit, First Commonwealth will eventually generate negative long term returns. The profitability progress is the general direction of First Commonwealth's change in net profit over the period of time. It can combine multiple indicators of First Commonwealth, where stable trends show no significant progress. An accelerating trend is seen as positive, while a decreasing one is unfavorable. A rising trend means that profits are rising, and operational efficiency may be rising as well. A decreasing trend is a sign of poor performance and may indicate upcoming losses.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income-92.3 M-87.6 M
Operating Income204.9 M215.2 M
Income Before Tax204.9 M215.2 M
Total Other Income Expense Net-65.7 M-69 M
Net Income164 M172.2 M
Income Tax Expense41 M43 M
Net Income Applicable To Common Shares164 M172.2 M
Net Income From Continuing Ops164 M90.5 M
Net Interest Income433.4 M301.6 M
Interest Income688.2 M361.3 M
Change To Netincome18.8 M17.2 M
Net Income Per Share 1.26  1.32 
Income Quality 0.82  1.14 
Net Income Per E B T 0.72  0.62 

First Profitability Driver Comparison

Profitability drivers are factors that can directly affect your investment outlook on First Commonwealth. Investors often realize that things won't turn out the way they predict. There are maybe way too many unforeseen events and contingencies during the holding period of First Commonwealth position where the market behavior may be hard to predict, tax policy changes, gold or oil price hikes, calamities change, and many others. The question is, are you prepared for these unexpected events? Although some of these situations are obviously beyond your control, you can still follow the important profit indicators to know where you should focus on when things like this occur. Below are some of the First Commonwealth's important profitability drivers and their relationship over time.

First Commonwealth Profitability Trends

First Commonwealth profitability trend refers to the progression of profit or loss within a business. An upward trend means that First Commonwealth's profit has generally increased over time, and a downward profitability trend means profits are declining. Recognizing problems early in profitability trends allows investors to address revenue and cost issues in advance. Investors and analysts usually monitor three types of profitability trends: gross, operating, and net. Gross profit is the difference between revenue and costs of goods sold. Operating profit is First Commonwealth's gross profit minus its overhead. After you account for other unusual revenue, expenses, and costs, you get net profit. Gross profit trends are often a good indicator of future profitability. If you have high gross profit margins, you have a better chance to cover overhead and make money.

First Commonwealth Profitability Drivers Correlations

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize and read into endless financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties. Understanding the correlation between First Commonwealth different financial indicators related to revenue and profit generation helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards First Commonwealth in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between profit drivers that are directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to break down First Commonwealth's future profitability.

First Commonwealth Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of First Commonwealth's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of First Commonwealth is estimated to be 0.42 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.375 to a high of 0.3825. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for First Commonwealth Financial is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.39
0.38
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.42
0.38
Highest

First Commonwealth Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of First Commonwealth's value are higher than the current market price of the First Commonwealth stock. In this case, investors may conclude that First Commonwealth is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and First Commonwealth's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of December 2025Current EPS (TTM)
694.48%
0.39
0.42
1.39

First Commonwealth Earnings History

Earnings estimate consensus by First Commonwealth analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge First Commonwealth's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only First Commonwealth's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.

First Commonwealth Quarterly Gross Profit

124.65 Million

At this time, First Commonwealth's Retained Earnings are most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The First Commonwealth's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 17.26, while Retained Earnings Total Equity is projected to decrease to roughly 490.2 M. The First Commonwealth's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 172.2 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is projected to decrease to roughly 83.3 M.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Commonwealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.3917.0318.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
16.3017.9419.58
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4419.1721.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.420.38
Details
Note that many institutional investors and large investment bankers can move markets due to the volume of First assets they manage. They also follow analysts to some degree and often drive overall investor sentiments towards First Commonwealth. With so many stockholders watching consensus numbers, the difference between actual and projected earnings is one of the most critical factors driving First Commonwealth's stock price in the short term.

First Commonwealth Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

Actual Earning per Share of First Commonwealth refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering First Commonwealth Financial predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of First Commonwealth, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.

First Commonwealth Estimated Months Earnings per Share

For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as First Commonwealth, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of First Commonwealth should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.

First Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics

Earnings surprises can significantly impact First Commonwealth's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2025-10-28
2025-09-300.410.39-0.02
2025-07-29
2025-06-300.350.380.03
2025-04-29
2025-03-310.320.320.0
2025-01-28
2024-12-310.350.350.0
2024-10-29
2024-09-300.360.31-0.0513 
2024-07-23
2024-06-300.350.360.01
2024-04-23
2024-03-310.360.370.01
2024-01-30
2023-12-310.390.440.0512 
2023-10-24
2023-09-300.40.39-0.01
2023-07-25
2023-06-300.410.420.01
2023-04-25
2023-03-310.390.450.0615 
2023-01-24
2022-12-310.430.39-0.04
2022-10-25
2022-09-300.380.37-0.01
2022-07-26
2022-06-300.330.330.0
2022-04-26
2022-03-310.290.290.0
2022-01-25
2021-12-310.320.370.0515 
2021-10-26
2021-09-300.320.360.0412 
2021-07-27
2021-06-300.340.31-0.03
2021-04-27
2021-03-310.290.410.1241 
2021-01-26
2020-12-310.230.270.0417 
2020-10-27
2020-09-300.240.240.0
2020-07-28
2020-06-300.090.240.15166 
2020-04-28
2020-03-310.190.05-0.1473 
2020-01-28
2019-12-310.280.27-0.01
2019-10-29
2019-09-300.280.30.02
2019-07-23
2019-06-300.270.280.01
2019-04-23
2019-03-310.260.25-0.01
2019-01-29
2018-12-310.270.270.0
2018-10-23
2018-09-300.280.25-0.0310 
2018-07-24
2018-06-300.260.290.0311 
2018-04-24
2018-03-310.230.240.01
2018-01-23
2017-12-310.170.210.0423 
2017-10-25
2017-09-300.20.220.0210 
2017-07-26
2017-06-300.190.210.0210 
2017-04-25
2017-03-310.170.180.01
2017-01-25
2016-12-310.180.220.0422 
2016-10-26
2016-09-300.170.190.0211 
2016-07-27
2016-06-300.160.14-0.0212 
2016-04-26
2016-03-310.150.14-0.01
2016-01-27
2015-12-310.160.11-0.0531 
2015-10-28
2015-09-300.160.14-0.0212 
2015-07-29
2015-06-300.150.150.0
2015-04-28
2015-03-310.140.160.0214 
2015-01-28
2014-12-310.150.13-0.0213 
2014-10-29
2014-09-300.140.13-0.01
2014-07-23
2014-06-300.140.13-0.01
2014-04-22
2014-03-310.140.13-0.01
2014-01-29
2013-12-310.130.1-0.0323 
2013-10-23
2013-09-300.110.160.0545 
2013-07-24
2013-06-300.120.06-0.0650 
2013-04-23
2013-03-310.110.110.0
2013-01-30
2012-12-310.110.09-0.0218 
2012-10-24
2012-09-300.120.09-0.0325 
2012-07-25
2012-06-300.10.120.0220 
2012-04-24
2012-03-310.090.110.0222 
2012-01-25
2011-12-310.09-0.05-0.14155 
2011-10-27
2011-09-300.080.080.0
2011-07-27
2011-06-300.090.07-0.0222 
2011-04-20
2011-03-310.080.07-0.0112 
2011-01-27
2010-12-310.110.110.0
2010-10-28
2010-09-300.090.110.0222 
2010-07-29
2010-06-300.060.150.09150 
2010-04-21
2010-03-310.04-0.15-0.19475 
2009-10-22
2009-09-300.070.04-0.0342 
2009-07-27
2009-06-300.09-0.15-0.24266 
2009-04-23
2009-03-310.150.02-0.1386 
2009-01-26
2008-12-310.160.11-0.0531 
2008-10-23
2008-09-300.180.210.0316 
2008-07-17
2008-06-300.160.180.0212 
2008-04-17
2008-03-310.150.150.0
2008-01-23
2007-12-310.150.160.01
2007-10-18
2007-09-300.150.170.0213 
2007-07-19
2007-06-300.150.160.01
2007-04-19
2007-03-310.170.170.0
2007-01-24
2006-12-310.190.18-0.01
2006-10-19
2006-09-300.190.20.01
2006-07-21
2006-06-300.190.17-0.0210 
2006-04-20
2006-03-310.20.19-0.01
2006-01-25
2005-12-310.210.2-0.01
2005-10-20
2005-09-300.210.220.01
2005-07-21
2005-06-300.220.21-0.01
2005-04-21
2005-03-310.240.22-0.02
2005-01-20
2004-12-310.240.240.0
2004-10-21
2004-09-300.120.230.1191 
2004-07-22
2004-06-300.20.18-0.0210 
2004-04-15
2004-03-310.210.220.01
2004-01-22
2003-12-310.20.210.01
2003-10-23
2003-09-300.20.230.0315 
2003-07-17
2003-06-300.210.230.02
2003-04-17
2003-03-310.220.230.01
2003-01-23
2002-12-310.230.22-0.01
2002-10-17
2002-09-300.230.230.0
2002-07-18
2002-06-300.230.22-0.01
2002-04-18
2002-03-310.220.220.0
2002-01-22
2001-12-310.220.230.01
2001-10-18
2001-09-300.210.220.01
2001-07-19
2001-06-300.210.210.0
2001-04-18
2001-03-310.20.210.01
2001-01-22
2000-12-310.210.19-0.02
2000-10-13
2000-09-300.220.2-0.02
2000-07-13
2000-06-300.220.230.01
2000-06-21
2000-03-310.20.19-0.01
1999-10-15
1999-09-300.210.230.02
1999-07-15
1999-06-300.20.20.0
1999-04-16
1999-03-310.190.20.01
1999-03-12
1998-12-310.170.02-0.1588 
1998-07-17
1998-06-300.180.190.01
1998-04-17
1998-03-310.170.180.01
1998-01-22
1997-12-310.170.16-0.01
1997-10-20
1997-09-300.170.20.0317 
1997-07-23
1997-06-300.160.170.01
1997-04-29
1997-03-310.160.180.0212 
1997-01-17
1996-12-310.160.180.0212 
1996-10-18
1996-09-300.160.170.01
1996-07-18
1996-06-300.160.160.0

Use First Commonwealth in pair-trading

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Commonwealth position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Commonwealth will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

First Commonwealth Pair Trading

First Commonwealth Financial Pair Trading Analysis

The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Commonwealth could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Commonwealth when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Commonwealth - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Commonwealth Financial to buy it.
The correlation of First Commonwealth is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Commonwealth moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Commonwealth moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Commonwealth can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Use Investing Themes to Complement your First Commonwealth position

In addition to having First Commonwealth in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Giant Impact
Giant Impact Theme
An experimental equal-weighted decomposition of large high potential stocks based on Macroaxis scoring framework. The Giant Impact theme has 38 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Giant Impact Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether First Commonwealth is a strong investment it is important to analyze First Commonwealth's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact First Commonwealth's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding First Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Investing Opportunities.
You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
To fully project First Commonwealth's future profitability, investors should examine all historical financial statements. These statements provide investors with a comprehensive snapshot of the financial position of First Commonwealth at a specified time, usually calculated after every quarter, six months, or one year. Three primary documents fall into the category of financial statements. These documents include First Commonwealth's income statement, its balance sheet, and the statement of cash flows.
Potential First Commonwealth investors and stakeholders can use historical trends found within financial statements to determine how well the company is positioned for the future. Although First Commonwealth investors may work on each financial statement separately, they are all related. The changes in First Commonwealth's assets and liabilities, for example, are also reflected in the revenues and expenses that we see on First Commonwealth's income statement, which results in the company's gains or losses. Cash flows can provide more information regarding cash listed on a balance sheet but not equivalent to net income shown on the income statement. Please read more on our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.