American Integrity Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AII Stock | 18.84 0.19 1.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of American Integrity Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.75. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of American Integrity's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 19th of January 2026, the relative strength indicator of American Integrity's share price is approaching 38. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Integrity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.486 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.838 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.745 | Wall Street Target Price 25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.606 |
Using American Integrity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Integrity Insurance from the perspective of American Integrity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
American Integrity Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Integrity's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Integrity Insurance. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Integrity's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Integrity.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of American Integrity Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.75. American Integrity after-hype prediction price | USD 18.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Integrity to cross-verify your projections. American Integrity Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Integrity Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of American Integrity Insurance on the next trading day is expected to be 18.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.93, mean absolute percentage error of 1.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Integrity's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Integrity Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Integrity | American Integrity Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
American Integrity Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Integrity's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Integrity's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.12 and 21.21, respectively. We have considered American Integrity's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Integrity stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Integrity stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4725 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9303 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0428 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 56.7487 |
Predictive Modules for American Integrity
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Integrity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for American Integrity
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Integrity's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Integrity's price trends.American Integrity Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Integrity stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Integrity could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Integrity by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Integrity Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Integrity's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Integrity's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Integrity Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Integrity stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Integrity shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Integrity stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Integrity Insurance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
American Integrity Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Integrity's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Integrity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.51 | |||
| Variance | 6.29 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether American Integrity offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of American Integrity's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of American Integrity Insurance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on American Integrity Insurance Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Integrity to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Financial Widgets module to easily integrated Macroaxis content with over 30 different plug-and-play financial widgets.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Integrity. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Integrity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.486 | Earnings Share 3.87 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.606 |
The market value of American Integrity is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Integrity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Integrity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Integrity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Integrity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Integrity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Integrity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Integrity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.