Heritage Commerce Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| HTBK Stock | USD 12.06 0.05 0.42% |
Heritage Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Heritage Commerce's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Heritage Commerce's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Heritage Commerce fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Heritage Commerce's share price is below 20 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.41 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2117 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.87 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.944 | Wall Street Target Price 13 |
Using Heritage Commerce hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Heritage Commerce Corp from the perspective of Heritage Commerce response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Heritage Commerce using Heritage Commerce's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Heritage using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Heritage Commerce's stock price.
Heritage Commerce Short Interest
An investor who is long Heritage Commerce may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Heritage Commerce and may potentially protect profits, hedge Heritage Commerce with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.0103 | Short Percent 0.0277 | Short Ratio 3.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.2 M | 50 Day MA 11.16 |
Heritage Commerce Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Heritage Commerce's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Heritage. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Heritage can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Heritage Commerce Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Heritage Commerce's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Heritage Commerce.
Heritage Commerce Implied Volatility | 0.88 |
Heritage Commerce's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Heritage Commerce Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Heritage Commerce's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Heritage Commerce stock will not fluctuate a lot when Heritage Commerce's options are near their expiration.
Heritage Commerce after-hype prediction price | USD 12.09 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Heritage Commerce to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Heritage Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Heritage Commerce's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Heritage Commerce's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Heritage Commerce stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Heritage Commerce's open interest, investors have to compare it to Heritage Commerce's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Heritage Commerce is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Heritage. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Heritage Commerce Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Heritage price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Heritage using various technical indicators. When you analyze Heritage charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 6600.04 | 17752.02 |
| Check Heritage Commerce Volatility | Backtest Heritage Commerce | Information Ratio |
Heritage Commerce Trading Date Momentum
| On January 02 2026 Heritage Commerce Corp was traded for 12.06 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 12.13 and the lowest listed price was 11.84 . The trading volume for the day was 742.5 K. The trading history from January 2, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.00% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Heritage Commerce to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Heritage Commerce
For every potential investor in Heritage, whether a beginner or expert, Heritage Commerce's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Heritage Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Heritage. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Heritage Commerce's price trends.Heritage Commerce Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Heritage Commerce stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Heritage Commerce could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Heritage Commerce by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Heritage Commerce Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Heritage Commerce's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Heritage Commerce's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Heritage Commerce Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Heritage Commerce stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Heritage Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Heritage Commerce stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Heritage Commerce Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 17752.02 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.1724 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.99 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 12.01 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.05 |
Heritage Commerce Risk Indicators
The analysis of Heritage Commerce's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Heritage Commerce's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting heritage stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.54 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Heritage Commerce. If investors know Heritage will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Heritage Commerce listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.41 | Dividend Share 0.52 | Earnings Share 0.7 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.181 |
The market value of Heritage Commerce Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Heritage that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Heritage Commerce's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Heritage Commerce's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Heritage Commerce's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Heritage Commerce's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Heritage Commerce's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Heritage Commerce is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Heritage Commerce's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.