Johnson Controls Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| JCI Stock | USD 111.18 1.23 1.09% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Johnson Controls International on the next trading day is expected to be 111.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.60. Johnson Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Johnson Controls' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 8th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Johnson Controls' share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.813 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8199 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.606 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.3444 | Wall Street Target Price 132.2778 |
Using Johnson Controls hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Johnson Controls International from the perspective of Johnson Controls response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Johnson Controls using Johnson Controls' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Johnson using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Johnson Controls' stock price.
Johnson Controls Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Johnson Controls' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Johnson. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Johnson Controls stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 104.1371 | Short Percent 0.0427 | Short Ratio 4 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.4 M | 50 Day MA 117.108 |
Johnson Controls Int Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Johnson Controls' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Johnson. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Johnson can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Johnson Controls International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Johnson Controls' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Johnson Controls.
Johnson Controls Implied Volatility | 0.29 |
Johnson Controls' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Johnson Controls International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Johnson Controls' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Johnson Controls stock will not fluctuate a lot when Johnson Controls' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Johnson Controls International on the next trading day is expected to be 111.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.60. Johnson Controls after-hype prediction price | USD 111.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Johnson Controls to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Johnson Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Johnson Controls' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Johnson Controls' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Johnson Controls stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Johnson Controls' open interest, investors have to compare it to Johnson Controls' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Johnson Controls is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Johnson. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Johnson Controls Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Johnson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Johnson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Johnson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Johnson Controls Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Johnson Controls International on the next trading day is expected to be 111.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.71, mean absolute percentage error of 5.92, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Johnson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Johnson Controls' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Johnson Controls Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Johnson Controls | Johnson Controls Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Johnson Controls Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Johnson Controls' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Johnson Controls' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 109.93 and 113.66, respectively. We have considered Johnson Controls' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Johnson Controls stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Johnson Controls stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2137 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1167 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.705 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 100.595 |
Predictive Modules for Johnson Controls
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Johnson Controls Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Johnson Controls' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Johnson Controls
For every potential investor in Johnson, whether a beginner or expert, Johnson Controls' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Johnson Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Johnson. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Johnson Controls' price trends.Johnson Controls Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Johnson Controls stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Johnson Controls could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Johnson Controls by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Johnson Controls Int Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Johnson Controls' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Johnson Controls' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Johnson Controls Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Johnson Controls stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Johnson Controls shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Johnson Controls stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Johnson Controls International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 111.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 111.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.61) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.23) |
Johnson Controls Risk Indicators
The analysis of Johnson Controls' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Johnson Controls' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting johnson stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.45 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.82 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Johnson Controls Int offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Johnson Controls' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Johnson Controls International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Johnson Controls International Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Johnson Controls to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Johnson Controls. If investors know Johnson will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Johnson Controls listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.813 | Dividend Share 1.51 | Earnings Share 2.63 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of Johnson Controls Int is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Johnson that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Johnson Controls' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Johnson Controls' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Johnson Controls' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Johnson Controls' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Johnson Controls' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Johnson Controls is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Johnson Controls' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.