PACCAR Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| PCAR Stock | USD 117.08 4.16 3.68% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PACCAR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 115.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.82. PACCAR Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although PACCAR's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of PACCAR's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of PACCAR fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of PACCAR's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.1914 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.4866 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5109 | Wall Street Target Price 111.208 |
Using PACCAR hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PACCAR Inc from the perspective of PACCAR response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PACCAR using PACCAR's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PACCAR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PACCAR's stock price.
PACCAR Short Interest
An investor who is long PACCAR may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PACCAR and may potentially protect profits, hedge PACCAR with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 97.9734 | Short Percent 0.0295 | Short Ratio 3.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.8 M | 50 Day MA 104.5096 |
PACCAR Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PACCAR's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PACCAR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PACCAR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PACCAR Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PACCAR's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PACCAR.
PACCAR Implied Volatility | 0.37 |
PACCAR's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PACCAR Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PACCAR's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PACCAR stock will not fluctuate a lot when PACCAR's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PACCAR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 115.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.82. PACCAR after-hype prediction price | USD 116.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of PACCAR to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 PACCAR Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast PACCAR's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in PACCAR's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for PACCAR stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current PACCAR's open interest, investors have to compare it to PACCAR's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of PACCAR is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in PACCAR. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
PACCAR Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PACCAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PACCAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze PACCAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PACCAR Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of PACCAR Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 115.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 3.36, and the sum of the absolute errors of 82.82.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PACCAR Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PACCAR's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
PACCAR Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest PACCAR | PACCAR Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
PACCAR Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting PACCAR's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. PACCAR's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 113.36 and 116.64, respectively. We have considered PACCAR's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PACCAR stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PACCAR stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6471 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.5958 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4036 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0136 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 82.815 |
Predictive Modules for PACCAR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PACCAR Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for PACCAR
For every potential investor in PACCAR, whether a beginner or expert, PACCAR's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. PACCAR Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in PACCAR. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying PACCAR's price trends.PACCAR Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with PACCAR stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of PACCAR could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing PACCAR by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
PACCAR Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of PACCAR's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of PACCAR's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
PACCAR Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how PACCAR stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading PACCAR shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying PACCAR stock market strength indicators, traders can identify PACCAR Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 317704.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7075 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 116.27 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 116.54 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.89 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 4.16 |
PACCAR Risk Indicators
The analysis of PACCAR's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in PACCAR's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting paccar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8409 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Variance | 2.65 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7072 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Pair Trading with PACCAR
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if PACCAR position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PACCAR will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with PACCAR Stock
Moving against PACCAR Stock
| 0.8 | 002526 | Shandong Mining Machinery | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | 002480 | Chengdu Xinzhu RoadBridge | PairCorr |
| 0.74 | ALH | Alliance Laundry Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.67 | 000920 | Vontron Technology | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | WPRT | Westport Fuel Systems | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to PACCAR could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace PACCAR when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back PACCAR - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling PACCAR Inc to buy it.
The correlation of PACCAR is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as PACCAR moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if PACCAR Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for PACCAR can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for PACCAR Stock Analysis
When running PACCAR's price analysis, check to measure PACCAR's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PACCAR is operating at the current time. Most of PACCAR's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PACCAR's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PACCAR's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PACCAR to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.