Preferred Bank Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| PFBC Stock | USD 82.72 1.77 2.09% |
Preferred Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Preferred Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Preferred Bank's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Preferred Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Preferred Bank's share price is approaching 34 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Preferred Bank, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.24 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.556 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.384 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.048 | Wall Street Target Price 102 |
Using Preferred Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Preferred Bank from the perspective of Preferred Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Preferred Bank using Preferred Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Preferred using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Preferred Bank's stock price.
Preferred Bank Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Preferred Bank's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Preferred. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Preferred Bank stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 90.2802 | Short Percent 0.1004 | Short Ratio 11.93 | Shares Short Prior Month 956.3 K | 50 Day MA 95.3 |
Preferred Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Preferred Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 78.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.73.Preferred Bank Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Preferred Bank's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Preferred. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Preferred can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Preferred Bank. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Preferred Bank's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Preferred Bank.
Preferred Bank Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
Preferred Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Preferred Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Preferred Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Preferred Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Preferred Bank's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Preferred Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 78.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.73. Preferred Bank after-hype prediction price | USD 82.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Preferred | Build AI portfolio with Preferred Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Preferred contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Preferred Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Preferred Bank trading at USD 82.72, that is roughly USD 0.0439 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Preferred Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Preferred Bank options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Preferred Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Preferred Bank's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Preferred Bank's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Preferred Bank stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Preferred Bank's open interest, investors have to compare it to Preferred Bank's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Preferred Bank is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Preferred. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Preferred Bank Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Preferred price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Preferred using various technical indicators. When you analyze Preferred charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Preferred Bank Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Preferred Bank's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-12-31 | Previous Quarter 776.3 M | Current Value 795.5 M | Quarterly Volatility 328.5 M |
Preferred Bank Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Preferred Bank on the next trading day is expected to be 78.34 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.56, mean absolute percentage error of 4.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 96.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Preferred Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Preferred Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Preferred Bank | Preferred Bank Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Preferred Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Preferred Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Preferred Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.34 and 80.33, respectively. We have considered Preferred Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Preferred Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Preferred Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4348 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.5602 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 96.7338 |
Predictive Modules for Preferred Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Preferred Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Preferred Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Preferred Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Preferred Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Preferred Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Preferred Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Preferred Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Preferred Bank's historical news coverage. Preferred Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.74 and 84.70, respectively. We have considered Preferred Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Preferred Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Preferred Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.
Preferred Bank Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Preferred Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Preferred Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Preferred Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.99 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 22 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 22 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
82.72 | 82.72 | 0.00 |
|
Preferred Bank Hype Timeline
Preferred Bank is at this time traded for 82.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Preferred is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Preferred Bank is about 270.01%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.80. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.33. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Preferred Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.88. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2026. Preferred Bank had 1:5 split on the 20th of June 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 22 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Preferred Bank to cross-verify your projections.Preferred Bank Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Preferred Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Preferred Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Preferred Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Preferred Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WABC | Westamerica Bancorporation | (0.59) | 12 per month | 1.11 | 0.02 | 2.97 | (1.77) | 7.62 | |
| CNOB | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.96 | 0.10 | 3.61 | (1.83) | 9.27 | |
| QCRH | QCR Holdings | (1.11) | 9 per month | 1.10 | 0.15 | 3.55 | (1.74) | 8.45 | |
| CFR | CullenFrost Bankers | 2.71 | 11 per month | 0.90 | 0.06 | 3.15 | (1.48) | 7.64 | |
| BY | Byline Bancorp | 1.24 | 8 per month | 1.13 | 0.10 | 2.82 | (2.40) | 9.25 | |
| RBCAA | Republic Bancorp | 1.86 | 10 per month | 1.34 | (0.02) | 3.24 | (2.43) | 9.56 | |
| FSUN | FirstSun Capital Bancorp | (0.16) | 27 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.49 | (3.21) | 18.58 | |
| PEBO | Peoples Bancorp | 1.86 | 3 per month | 1.15 | 0.05 | 3.16 | (2.17) | 7.86 | |
| OCFC | OceanFirst Financial Corp | 1.24 | 32 per month | 1.81 | (0.02) | 3.55 | (2.24) | 11.35 | |
| WAFD | Washington Federal | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 3.19 | (2.74) | 7.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Preferred Bank
For every potential investor in Preferred, whether a beginner or expert, Preferred Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Preferred. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Preferred Bank's price trends.Preferred Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Preferred Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Preferred Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Preferred Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Preferred Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Preferred Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Preferred Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Preferred Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Preferred Bank entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2860.62 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.79) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 83.77 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 83.42 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.93) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.77) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.33 |
Preferred Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Preferred Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Preferred Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Variance | 3.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Preferred Bank
The number of cover stories for Preferred Bank depends on current market conditions and Preferred Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Preferred Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Preferred Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Preferred Bank to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Preferred Stock guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Preferred diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Preferred Bank. Anticipated expansion of Preferred directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Preferred Bank data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.24 | Dividend Share 3.05 | Earnings Share 9.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.155 |
Preferred Bank's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Preferred's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Preferred Bank's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Preferred Bank's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Preferred Bank's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Preferred Bank should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Preferred Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.