SmartFinancial Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| SMBK Stock | USD 36.56 0.43 1.16% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SmartFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 34.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.67. SmartFinancial Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although SmartFinancial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of SmartFinancial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of SmartFinancial fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of SmartFinancial's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7667 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.0033 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.3617 | Wall Street Target Price 40.4583 |
Using SmartFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SmartFinancial from the perspective of SmartFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SmartFinancial using SmartFinancial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SmartFinancial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SmartFinancial's stock price.
SmartFinancial Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
SmartFinancial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SmartFinancial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SmartFinancial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SmartFinancial stock will not fluctuate a lot when SmartFinancial's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of SmartFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 34.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47 and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.67. SmartFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 36.63 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SmartFinancial | Build AI portfolio with SmartFinancial Stock |
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 SmartFinancial Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast SmartFinancial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in SmartFinancial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for SmartFinancial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current SmartFinancial's open interest, investors have to compare it to SmartFinancial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of SmartFinancial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in SmartFinancial. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
SmartFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SmartFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SmartFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze SmartFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SmartFinancial Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the SmartFinancial's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2001-09-30 | Previous Quarter 347.6 M | Current Value 523.1 M | Quarterly Volatility 1.2 B |
SmartFinancial Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of SmartFinancial on the next trading day is expected to be 34.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.47, mean absolute percentage error of 0.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 28.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict SmartFinancial Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that SmartFinancial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
SmartFinancial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest SmartFinancial | SmartFinancial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
SmartFinancial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting SmartFinancial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. SmartFinancial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.86 and 36.06, respectively. We have considered SmartFinancial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of SmartFinancial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent SmartFinancial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.9697 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4701 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0129 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 28.6739 |
Predictive Modules for SmartFinancial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SmartFinancial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for SmartFinancial
For every potential investor in SmartFinancial, whether a beginner or expert, SmartFinancial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. SmartFinancial Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in SmartFinancial. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying SmartFinancial's price trends.SmartFinancial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with SmartFinancial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of SmartFinancial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing SmartFinancial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
SmartFinancial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of SmartFinancial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of SmartFinancial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
SmartFinancial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how SmartFinancial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading SmartFinancial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying SmartFinancial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify SmartFinancial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
SmartFinancial Risk Indicators
The analysis of SmartFinancial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in SmartFinancial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting smartfinancial stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.19 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.45 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.21) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of SmartFinancial to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial Stock guide.You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SmartFinancial. If investors know SmartFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SmartFinancial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 2.74 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.222 |
The market value of SmartFinancial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SmartFinancial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SmartFinancial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SmartFinancial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SmartFinancial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SmartFinancial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SmartFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SmartFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SmartFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.