Smartfinancial Stock Price Prediction
| SMBK Stock | USD 39.10 0.35 0.89% |
Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.42 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.75 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.524 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.035 | Wall Street Target Price 43.5417 |
Using SmartFinancial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SmartFinancial from the perspective of SmartFinancial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SmartFinancial using SmartFinancial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SmartFinancial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SmartFinancial's stock price.
SmartFinancial Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
SmartFinancial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SmartFinancial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SmartFinancial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SmartFinancial stock will not fluctuate a lot when SmartFinancial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SmartFinancial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SmartFinancial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SmartFinancial after-hype prediction price | USD 39.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SmartFinancial | Build AI portfolio with SmartFinancial Stock |
SmartFinancial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SmartFinancial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SmartFinancial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SmartFinancial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SmartFinancial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SmartFinancial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SmartFinancial's historical news coverage. SmartFinancial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.61 and 40.67, respectively. We have considered SmartFinancial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SmartFinancial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SmartFinancial is based on 3 months time horizon.
SmartFinancial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SmartFinancial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SmartFinancial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SmartFinancial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.53 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.10 | 39.14 | 0.10 |
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SmartFinancial Hype Timeline
SmartFinancial is at this time traded for 39.10. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. SmartFinancial is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on SmartFinancial is about 506.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.04. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 316.37 M. Net Income was 36.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 192.71 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out SmartFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SmartFinancial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SmartFinancial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SmartFinancial's future price movements. Getting to know how SmartFinancial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SmartFinancial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FCBC | First Community Bancshares | (1.50) | 7 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 3.86 | (3.31) | 9.31 | |
| SPFI | South Plains Financial | (0.51) | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.02 | 2.82 | (2.22) | 9.14 | |
| BWB | Bridgewater Bancshares | 0.18 | 17 per month | 1.32 | 0.06 | 3.50 | (2.33) | 9.97 | |
| BCAL | Southern California Bancorp | 0.40 | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.06 | 2.27 | (1.97) | 7.59 | |
| SMBC | Southern Missouri Bancorp | (1.07) | 7 per month | 1.19 | 0.11 | 3.00 | (1.77) | 10.20 | |
| THFF | First Financial | (0.43) | 8 per month | 1.42 | 0.09 | 3.55 | (2.36) | 10.39 | |
| IBCP | Independent Bank | (0.01) | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 2.57 | (2.57) | 7.82 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | (0.29) | 10 per month | 1.83 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (2.34) | 14.35 | |
| NBBK | NB Bancorp Common | 0.36 | 5 per month | 1.06 | 0.11 | 2.93 | (2.07) | 6.22 | |
| HTBK | Heritage Commerce Corp | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.18 | 2.97 | (2.06) | 12.58 |
SmartFinancial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SmartFinancial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SmartFinancial using various technical indicators. When you analyze SmartFinancial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SmartFinancial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SmartFinancial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SmartFinancial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SmartFinancial based on analysis of SmartFinancial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SmartFinancial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SmartFinancial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0132 | 0.0104 | 0.008651 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.71 | 1.82 | 1.96 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out SmartFinancial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy SmartFinancial Stock please use our How to buy in SmartFinancial Stock guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SmartFinancial. If investors know SmartFinancial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive SmartFinancial assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.42 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 2.98 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 |
SmartFinancial's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on SmartFinancial's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate SmartFinancial's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since SmartFinancial's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SmartFinancial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SmartFinancial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SmartFinancial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.