Bayfirst Financial Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.45
| BAFN Stock | USD 13.25 0.08 0.61% |
Bayfirst |
Bayfirst Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 13.45
The tendency of Bayfirst Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 13.45 or more in 90 days |
| 13.25 | 90 days | 13.45 | about 38.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bayfirst Financial to move over $ 13.45 or more in 90 days from now is about 38.75 (This Bayfirst Financial Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bayfirst Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bayfirst Financial Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 13.25 and $ 13.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.49 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Bayfirst Financial Corp has a beta of -0.25 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bayfirst Financial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bayfirst Financial Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bayfirst Financial Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bayfirst Financial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bayfirst Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bayfirst Financial Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bayfirst Financial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bayfirst Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bayfirst Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bayfirst Financial Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bayfirst Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Bayfirst Financial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bayfirst Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bayfirst Financial Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bayfirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Berset Derek Steven of 535 shares of Bayfirst Financial at 14.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Bayfirst Financial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bayfirst Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bayfirst Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bayfirst Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 58.4 M |
Bayfirst Financial Technical Analysis
Bayfirst Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bayfirst Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bayfirst Financial Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bayfirst Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bayfirst Financial Predictive Forecast Models
Bayfirst Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bayfirst Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bayfirst Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bayfirst Financial Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bayfirst Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bayfirst Financial Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bayfirst Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bayfirst Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Berset Derek Steven of 535 shares of Bayfirst Financial at 14.0 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Bayfirst Financial Backtesting, Bayfirst Financial Valuation, Bayfirst Financial Correlation, Bayfirst Financial Hype Analysis, Bayfirst Financial Volatility, Bayfirst Financial History as well as Bayfirst Financial Performance. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bayfirst Financial. If investors know Bayfirst will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bayfirst Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 0.74 | Revenue Per Share 30.056 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Bayfirst Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bayfirst that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bayfirst Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bayfirst Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bayfirst Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bayfirst Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bayfirst Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bayfirst Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bayfirst Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.