American Financial Group Stock Price Patterns
| AFGE Stock | USD 17.61 0.02 0.11% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Financial Group from the perspective of American Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 17.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out American Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. American Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Financial's historical news coverage. American Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.12 and 18.08, respectively. We have considered American Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 0.48 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.61 | 17.60 | 0.06 |
|
American Financial Hype Timeline
American Financial is presently traded for 17.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. American is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on American Financial is about 400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how American Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MHLA | Maiden Holdings | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.54 | (2.12) | 6.14 | |
| PRA | ProAssurance | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.16 | (0.17) | 0.46 | (0.41) | 1.36 | |
| HMN | Horace Mann Educators | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.59 | (2.69) | 6.62 | |
| SLDE | Slide Insurance Holdings | 0.11 | 8 per month | 2.00 | (0.02) | 4.24 | (3.18) | 14.08 | |
| CLBK | Columbia Financial | (0.18) | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.11 | 4.31 | (2.23) | 11.19 | |
| LU | Lufax Holding | (0.02) | 6 per month | 2.05 | 0.02 | 4.38 | (3.70) | 18.89 | |
| AHL | Aspen Insurance Holdings | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.40) | 0.24 | (0.13) | 0.76 | |
| DFIN | Donnelley Financial Solutions | 0.65 | 9 per month | 3.02 | 0.01 | 4.49 | (4.80) | 14.34 | |
| GABC | German American Bancorp | 0.70 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.07 | 3.30 | (2.03) | 7.84 | |
| SKWD | Skyward Specialty Insurance | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.33 | (2.98) | 11.17 |
American Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Financial Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Financial based on analysis of American Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Financial's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0679 | 0.0686 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.3 | 1.39 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Financial's price analysis, check to measure American Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Financial is operating at the current time. Most of American Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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