City Holding Stock Price Prediction
| CHCO Stock | USD 131.79 1.83 1.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.019 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.88 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.8167 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.525 | Wall Street Target Price 125.3333 |
Using City Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of City Holding from the perspective of City Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in City Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying City because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
City Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 130.81 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
City |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of City Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
City Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of City Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in City Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of City Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
City Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting City Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on City Holding's historical news coverage. City Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 128.70 and 132.92, respectively. We have considered City Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
City Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of City Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
City Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as City Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading City Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with City Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.11 | 0.98 | 0.01 | 8 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
131.79 | 130.81 | 0.74 |
|
City Holding Hype Timeline
City Holding is currently traded for 131.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.98, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. City is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 130.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 42.97%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on City Holding is about 5456.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 131.78. About 71.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of City Holding was currently reported as 50.42. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. City Holding recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.8. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of October 2024. The firm had 11:10 split on the 30th of October 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out City Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.City Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to City Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict City Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how City Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how City Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
City Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine City price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for City using various technical indicators. When you analyze City charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About City Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of City Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as City Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of City Holding based on analysis of City Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to City Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to City Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0287 | 0.0242 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.75 | 3.06 |
Story Coverage note for City Holding
The number of cover stories for City Holding depends on current market conditions and City Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that City Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about City Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
City Holding Short Properties
City Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when City Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of City Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential City Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. City Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 156.3 M |
Check out City Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in City Stock, please use our How to Invest in City Holding guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of City Holding. If investors know City will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about City Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.019 | Dividend Share 2.93 | Earnings Share 7.8 | Revenue Per Share 19.688 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.026 |
The market value of City Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of City that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of City Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is City Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because City Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect City Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between City Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if City Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, City Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.