First United Stock Price Prediction

FUNC Stock  USD 34.97  0.56  1.63%   
At the present time The relative strength index (RSI) of First United's share price is above 80 . This usually indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

84

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First United's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First United, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting First United's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.328
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.11
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.3
Wall Street Target Price
25
Using First United hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First United from the perspective of First United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First United to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First United after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.0833.3138.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.1534.3835.60
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.7525.0027.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.780.780.78
Details

First United After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First United at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First United or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First United, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First United's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First United's historical news coverage. First United's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.69 and 36.15, respectively. We have considered First United's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.97
34.92
After-hype Price
36.15
Upside
First United is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First United is based on 3 months time horizon.

First United Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First United is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First United backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First United, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.32 
1.23
  0.05 
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
12 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.97
34.92
0.14 
768.75  
Notes

First United Hype Timeline

First United is currently traded for 34.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 34.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.32%. The volatility of related hype on First United is about 9225.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.97. About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First United last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2025. The entity had 105:100 split on the 13th of March 1996. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out First United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade First Stock refer to our How to Trade First Stock guide.

First United Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First United's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First United's future price movements. Getting to know how First United's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First United may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FCCOFirst Community 0.04 8 per month 0.95  0.11  4.19 (2.20) 11.05 
GCBCGreene County Bancorp 0.54 7 per month 2.30 (0.01) 4.03 (4.03) 25.02 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares(0.12)10 per month 1.07  0.05  2.64 (2.16) 9.14 
CVCYCentral Valley Community 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.10 (6.70) 18.72 
AFBIAffinity Bancshares 0.06 8 per month 0.44 (0.20) 0.71 (0.65) 4.44 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.85  0.11  4.29 (3.19) 13.15 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 4 per month 2.43 (0.02) 3.82 (4.31) 21.70 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.09  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
CIZNCitizens Holding 0.01 2 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.00 (2.14) 6.16 
FBIZFirst Business Financial(1.46)6 per month 1.75  0.06  3.96 (3.58) 16.67 
OPOFOld Point Financial 0.11 4 per month 1.44  0.07  3.20 (2.21) 9.05 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.01 7 per month 0.00 (0.29) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
PKBKParke Bancorp(0.48)10 per month 0.96  0.11  2.75 (1.88) 9.72 
CHMGChemung Financial Corp 0.38 7 per month 0.58  0.06  2.29 (1.09) 9.94 
BSVNBank7 Corp 1.00 5 per month 1.63  0.11  5.54 (3.49) 14.67 
OBTOrange County Bancorp 0.39 9 per month 2.92  0.02  4.86 (5.33) 16.05 
COFSChoiceOne Financial Services(0.05)5 per month 0.74  0.15  4.90 (2.01) 11.09 

First United Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First United Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First United stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First United, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First United based on analysis of First United hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First United's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First United's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03090.03050.03320.0353
Price To Sales Ratio1.711.732.252.55

Story Coverage note for First United

The number of cover stories for First United depends on current market conditions and First United's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First United is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First United's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

First United Short Properties

First United's future price predictability will typically decrease when First United's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of First United often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential First United's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First United's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-48.3 M

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First United's price analysis, check to measure First United's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First United is operating at the current time. Most of First United's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First United's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First United's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First United to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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