Oceanfirst Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction

OCFC Stock  USD 18.23  0.12  0.65%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of OceanFirst Financial's share price is approaching 36. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling OceanFirst Financial, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 36

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of OceanFirst Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with OceanFirst Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting OceanFirst Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.36)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.392
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.9275
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.356
Wall Street Target Price
21.4
Using OceanFirst Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of OceanFirst Financial Corp from the perspective of OceanFirst Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards OceanFirst Financial using OceanFirst Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards OceanFirst using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of OceanFirst Financial's stock price.

OceanFirst Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in OceanFirst Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards OceanFirst. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of OceanFirst Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
17.8392
Short Percent
0.046
Short Ratio
5.7
Shares Short Prior Month
2.5 M
50 Day MA
18.778

OceanFirst Financial Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to OceanFirst Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in OceanFirst. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding OceanFirst can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around OceanFirst Financial Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of OceanFirst Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about OceanFirst Financial.

OceanFirst Financial Implied Volatility

    
  1.26  
OceanFirst Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of OceanFirst Financial Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if OceanFirst Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that OceanFirst Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when OceanFirst Financial's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in OceanFirst Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying OceanFirst because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

OceanFirst Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 18.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current OceanFirst contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that OceanFirst Financial Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0788% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With OceanFirst Financial trading at USD 18.23, that is roughly USD 0.0144 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating OceanFirst Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring OceanFirst Financial Corp options at the current volatility level of 1.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out OceanFirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.0019.9921.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.0120.0022.00
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.4721.4023.75
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.400.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as OceanFirst Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against OceanFirst Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, OceanFirst Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in OceanFirst Financial Corp.

OceanFirst Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of OceanFirst Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in OceanFirst Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of OceanFirst Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

OceanFirst Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting OceanFirst Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on OceanFirst Financial's historical news coverage. OceanFirst Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.36 and 20.34, respectively. We have considered OceanFirst Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
18.23
18.35
After-hype Price
20.34
Upside
OceanFirst Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of OceanFirst Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

OceanFirst Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as OceanFirst Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OceanFirst Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with OceanFirst Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
1.98
 0.00  
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
18.23
18.35
0.00 
482.93  
Notes

OceanFirst Financial Hype Timeline

OceanFirst Financial Corp is now traded for 18.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. OceanFirst is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on OceanFirst Financial is about 512.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.23. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. OceanFirst Financial Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. The firm had 3:2 split on the 20th of May 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out OceanFirst Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

OceanFirst Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to OceanFirst Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how OceanFirst Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how OceanFirst Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
OBKOrigin Bancorp 0.37 8 per month 1.09  0.13  2.91 (2.24) 8.57 
PEBOPeoples Bancorp(0.37)9 per month 1.16  0.05  3.16 (2.17) 7.86 
FSUNFirstSun Capital Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 3.56 (0.03) 3.49 (2.36) 18.58 
TMPTompkins Financial 0.02 9 per month 1.46  0.10  3.68 (2.40) 10.36 
PFBCPreferred Bank 1.68 8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 2.42 (2.14) 12.44 
OSBCOld Second Bancorp(0.03)8 per month 1.43  0.05  3.15 (1.66) 11.80 
QCRHQCR Holdings 1.95 7 per month 1.08  0.15  3.55 (1.74) 8.45 
CNOBConnectOne Bancorp 0.07 8 per month 0.97  0.1  3.61 (1.83) 9.27 
CFRCullenFrost Bankers 0.59 8 per month 0.88  0.06  3.15 (1.48) 7.64 
WABCWestamerica Bancorporation(0.42)6 per month 1.12  0.02  2.97 (1.77) 7.62 

OceanFirst Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine OceanFirst price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for OceanFirst using various technical indicators. When you analyze OceanFirst charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About OceanFirst Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of OceanFirst Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as OceanFirst Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of OceanFirst Financial based on analysis of OceanFirst Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to OceanFirst Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to OceanFirst Financial's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.05010.04820.04460.0283
Price To Sales Ratio1.611.531.62.06

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When running OceanFirst Financial's price analysis, check to measure OceanFirst Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OceanFirst Financial is operating at the current time. Most of OceanFirst Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OceanFirst Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OceanFirst Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OceanFirst Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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